Jump to content

Would you trade Kjerstad for an elite controlled reliever?


Recommended Posts

5 minutes ago, Orioles0615 said:

What would it cost to get luzardo and Scott in the same deal ? 

 

5 minutes ago, Orioles0615 said:

What would it cost to get luzardo and Scott in the same deal ? 

 

A lot.


Offer 1 :   Kjerstad, Norby, Bradfield, Akin

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 hours ago, OriolesMagic83 said:

I would rather add one very good to great reliever than multiple mediocre relievers.  As we learned last year, adding mediocre relievers is often no improvement at all and can make the team worse.  I would want at least 3 years of control.  I know a lot of posters will say this is a serious overpay, but Kjerstad is quite limited defensively and it seems he will never be an adequate LF at Camden Yards.  He also seems unable at present to play a MLB 1B.  Feel free to add insight on whether this will change.  So we are basically looking at a RF/DH.  He's an O'Hearn replacement who can't handle 1B.  Ouch.  I think the bat would be great, but where do you play him if Mayo ends up at 1B and Adley needs DH at bats?

NAFC

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Absolutely not. Elias not making any additions except Kimbrel to the bullpen, while trading DL Hall has to be the biggest mistake of the offseason. Now RP will be expensive in the trade market and we may have to make the unnecessary decision to give up assets at the deadline. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 hours ago, Aristotelian said:

I'd rather trade a lesser prospect for a guy with fewer years of control. We are going to need Kjerstad to replace Santander and/or O'Hearn

This feels like the path that Elias will take.  If there's an SP upgrade, then the odds increase.  

Keep the higher end talent for the long haul.  Supplement in the short term with the next tier.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, btdart20 said:

This feels like the path that Elias will take.  If there's an SP upgrade, then the odds increase.  

Keep the higher end talent for the long haul.  Supplement in the short term with the next tier.

And relief pitcher is one of the easiest spots to fill with the "plug a hole" strategy (and one of the most difficult to predict long term success). Of course even an Andrew Miller rental type could cost but I don't think I would do Kjerstad. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, waroriole said:

Absolutely not. Elias not making any additions except Kimbrel to the bullpen, while trading DL Hall has to be the biggest mistake of the offseason. Now RP will be expensive in the trade market and we may have to make the unnecessary decision to give up assets at the deadline. 

Hall's not looking too great at the moment.  4 starts, 16 IP, 7.71 ERA. 2.265 WHIP, -0.4 WAR.  As always, command is the issue.  Will that change if he returns to the bullpen?  Who knows, but trading him was hardly a mistake as it stands now.

  • Upvote 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, 24fps said:

Hall's not looking too great at the moment.  4 starts, 16 IP, 7.71 ERA. 2.265 WHIP, -0.4 WAR.  As always, command is the issue.  Will that change if he returns to the bullpen?  Who knows, but trading him was hardly a mistake as it stands now.

Milwaukee is also trying to make him a SP. He looked ready to add to last year’s improvement in the bullpen if kept in the same role. But bullpens are volatile. Who really knows. All the more reason to not trade legit power prospects for bullpen help. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, 24fps said:

Hall's not looking too great at the moment.  4 starts, 16 IP, 7.71 ERA. 2.265 WHIP, -0.4 WAR.  As always, command is the issue.  Will that change if he returns to the bullpen?  Who knows, but trading him was hardly a mistake as it stands now.

I don't think he was saying that trading Hall was a mistake, just not getting another bullpen piece to replace him was.

I'll let him speak for himself, but that was my takeaway.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Like most others here, absolutely not.  We need him.

If the team decides to not short-term extend Santander, Kjerstad is the obvious replacement.  i don't see them getting rid of that flexibility for bullpen help.

Besides, we have other guys in the minors that would be more appropriate trade pieces for a reliever. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

28 minutes ago, waroriole said:

Absolutely not. Elias not making any additions except Kimbrel to the bullpen, while trading DL Hall has to be the biggest mistake of the offseason. Now RP will be expensive in the trade market and we may have to make the unnecessary decision to give up assets at the deadline. 

Well, we could have signed Robert Stephenson, Josh Hader, or even Ryan Brasier.   Who did you want?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • I would be OK with this and it’s what Hyde was doing with Kimbrel in a way too. We’ve got guys that can match up, let’s try to take advantage. 
    • A 90 win season with Grayson missing at least 10 starts, Means and Bradish missing at least 20 each.  Throw in Tyler Wells missing most of the season and other injuries I think this team and its management has done well.  If just a little more healthy they could have had back to back 100 win seasons.  I am glad we have Mike Elias and Brandon Hyde leading this team.  
    • Some interesting things of note from https://www.samford.edu/sports-analytics/fans/2023/Sabermetrics-101-Understanding-the-Calculation-of-WAR. I pulled out the relevant areas: Fangraphs allocates 570 WAR for position players and 430 WAR for pitchers, while Baseball-Reference allocates 590 WAR for position players and 410 WAR for pitchers The major difference between fWAR and bWAR comes from the measurement of fielding runs, which is the defensive output a player provides. Fangraphs uses a statistic called Ultimate Zone Rating (UZR), while Baseball-Reference uses a statistics called Defensive Runs Saved (DRS). The differences in these stats can lead to drastically different calculations in WAR for some position players. UZR takes into account 3 years of players’ data as well as MLB data to determine these percentages, whereas DRS uses essentially 1 year of data. Therefore, some rookies will have drastically different UZR and DRS stats. As opposed to positional players, Fangraphs and Baseball-Reference take drastically different steps in calculating the WAR of pitchers. It does not follow the formula for position players but does try to calculate the “wins” that a pitcher gives to their team. Instead, they use a “base” statistic to help calculate WAR. Fangraphs uses FIP, or fielding independent pitching, as its base for calculating pitchers' WAR, whereas Baseball-Reference focuses on Runs Allowed per 9 innings (RA9) for its base I think the main takeaway for Gil, bWAR likes him more than FanGraphs probably because FG aims to take the defensive element out of the calculation by centering on FIP. And if we look at FIP, his is close to 4. But Baseball Reference is using RA9 which does have a defensive element inherently calculated. As for Cowser, I reckon FG likes him more than BBRef particularly on the defensive metric side of things. Maybe BBRef is harsher on the DRS side than FG is on the UZR side. To me, I like FG for pitchers far more than BBRef. For position players, I’d give the nod to FG but mainly because I think DRS can have some wide swings where UZR has a tendency to be more centered.
    • Win game 1, Kremer/Suarez game 2, win game 2, Eflin game 1 ALDS? Win game 1, Kremer/Suraez game 2, lose game 2, Eflin game 3? Lose game 1, Eflin game 2?
    • The win tonight in game 161 allowed the 2023-24 Orioles to reach 191 wins, tied with the 1964-65 and 1965-66 teams for the 7th most wins in consecutive seasons.  With a win tomorrow, they could move up to a tie for 5th. Tonight’s win also gave the O’s 275 wins over the last 3 seasons, tied for 11th with the 1975-77 and 1976-78 O’s.  They could move into a tie for 10th with a win tomorrow.  
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...