Nolan Reimold now AFL leader in Home Runs

[Flosman]

Frobby I think Gibbons is a much better Comp than Bigbie also.

[alexei606]

Yeah, I agree that a healthier, better fielding Gibbons-type hitter wouldn't be terrible. It just isn't what a lot of people are hoping for.

IMOP, and according to the OH write-up, injuries have really hurt Reimold in his development and he is quite raw and needs more experience. Also, don't discount that Reimold walks and we all know that Gibbons doesn't. And again, the write-up says that Nolan has "a good eye at the plate (despite the strikeout numbers)". I don't think you can say that about Jay. I also think that PEDs are a big factor in Jay's MiL performance, so I don't think that this is as good a comparable to Nolan as the numbers suggest. Just curious, was Jay also injury prone in his MiL career?

So, I'm expecting a more athletic, faster, better arm, more power than Markakis OF without the BA and more Ks but still a good amount of walks. Reimold also has to work on better routes in the OF according to reports that I have read. That of course depends on his health, which is a big if since his first two full season years he has been plagued with foot, back and oblique injuries.

[srh523]

Yeah, I agree that a healthier, better fielding Gibbons-type hitter wouldn't be terrible. It just isn't what a lot of people are hoping for.

Well I think most of us always hoped Gibbons would be a steady .260 30 HR 100 RBI guy. So we certainly cant expect much more from Reimold.

[Lucky Jim]

1998 Med Hat    Pio 21 Tor Rk   1b   73 290 66 115 29 1 19 98 2 1 37 25 3 1 0 9 7  .397 .457 .700 1157 -- 1999 Hagerstown SAL 22 Tor A   1b-of 71 292 53 89 20 2 16 69 3 0 32 56 1 1 0 5 12  .305 .370 .551 921 --     Dunedin    FSL 22 Tor A+   1b   60 212 34 66 14 0 9 39 2 1 25 38 0 0 0 1 4    .311 .382 .505 887 -- 2000 Tennessee  Sou 23 Tor AA   1b   132474 85 152 38 1 19 75 3 1 61 67 10 5 0 7 10  .321 .404 .525 929 

It's not true that Gibbons didn't walk in the minors. I think Reimold is a better athlete, but identifying differences between the two is awfully tough. If anything, Gibbons was a better prospect.

But, our analysis can never be more than predictive and probabilistic. Gibbons certainly doesn't seal Reimold's fate.

[Three Run Homer]

A young Jay Gibbons-type hitter plus speed, defense and an honest build? Sounds good to me...although hopefully Reimold will have better luck with injuries than Gibbons.

[alexei606]

The athleticism that Reimold possesses is much more than Gibbons and even more than Markakis. The power that Gibbons demonstrated is PED enduced, where this is almost certainly not the case with Reimold. I grant the walks to Gibbons in MiL (sorry, should have checked that closer). I guess I would like to go with the Jason Bay comp that Camden Yardbird made in this thread: http://www.orioleshangout.com/forums/showthread.php?t=54969&page=13

Of course, it wouldn't be bad to have a better Gibbons, but I'm hoping for more with the type of tools that Reimold has. I know another comp for Nolan was Jay Buhner if he reached his ceiling. And Nolan has shaved his head!

Also, does anyone know if Gibbons had a track record as injury prone in the Minors?

[Frobby]

Also, does anyone know if Gibbons had a track record as injury prone in the Minors?

Judging from the number of games and AB he had each year, he did not have significant injury issues in the minors.

[Leitch]

Gibbons and Reimold are very different players. Gibbons is/was moderate average, above-average power, low strikeout, low walk player. Reimold is a low average, above average power, high strikeout, high walk player.

Gibbons puts the stick on the ball a whole lot more than Reimold did, and Reimold takes a ton more walks. About the only major similarity is the power and the injury issue.

[Leitch]

1998 Med Hat    Pio 21 Tor Rk   1b   73 290 66 115 29 1 19 98 2 1 37 25 3 1 0 9 7  .397 .457 .700 1157 -- 1999 Hagerstown SAL 22 Tor A   1b-of 71 292 53 89 20 2 16 69 3 0 32 56 1 1 0 5 12  .305 .370 .551 921 --     Dunedin    FSL 22 Tor A+   1b   60 212 34 66 14 0 9 39 2 1 25 38 0 0 0 1 4    .311 .382 .505 887 -- 2000 Tennessee  Sou 23 Tor AA   1b   132474 85 152 38 1 19 75 3 1 61 67 10 5 0 7 10  .321 .404 .525 929 

It's not true that Gibbons didn't walk in the minors. I think Reimold is a better athlete, but identifying differences between the two is awfully tough. If anything, Gibbons was a better prospect.

But, our analysis can never be more than predictive and probabilistic. Gibbons certainly doesn't seal Reimold's fate.

It's not true that Gibbons didn't walk in the minors, but Reimold's walk rates were much, much, much higher. However, Gibbons raked in the minors.

[Lucky Jim]

It's not true that Gibbons didn't walk in the minors, but Reimold's walk rates were much, much, much higher. However, Gibbons raked in the minors.

Right - I didn't mean to simplify analysis and claim that they're the same.

I meant the fact that Gibbons was a decent contact guy with a decent eye in the minors. The strike-outs worry me with Reimold. As does relying on his "good eye" - mostly because there's no guarantee those walk rates will stay consistent (see: Gibbons). Even a mild drop (or worse, a drop like he suffered in the move to AA) would make those Ks prohibitive.

The difference appears to be about 12% v. 15% of ABs for walks. Advantage Reimold. In the minors.

[Frobby]

Reimold took the collar today, 0 for 4 to lower his average to .227.

[O no]

I was really hopeful NR would tear up the league and force himself into the 2008 OF picture.

You can take several positives from his time in the AFL with his power numbers, and more importantly playing healthy, I believe it is becoming apparent the guy needs to be invited to ST but end of in AA or AAA.

I do not think he is by any means trade bait but I don't see him contributing in 08, at least not until Sept.

[Frobby]

Nice day for Reimold today, 2 for 4 with a double, a walk, and 3 RBI. His average still sits below .240 with one regular season game left to play.

[Frobby]

Reimold finsihes the AFL regualr season by leading the league in HR (6) and RBI (23). His overall line of .245/.331/.452 is still a bit disappointing. though not a complete disaster. FWIW, Reimold also played in the AFL last year, to the tune of .284/.406/.398, 1 HR, 9 RBI. He showed a lot more power this campaign but got on base less often.

[alexei606]

Reimold finsihes the AFL regualr season by leading the league in HR (6) and RBI (23). His overall line of .245/.331/.452 is still a bit disappointing. though not a complete disaster. FWIW, Reimold also played in the AFL last year, to the tune of .284/.406/.398, 1 HR, 9 RBI. He showed a lot more power this campaign but got on base less often.

Well compare these numbers to the some of the ones on the AFL top 20 and big time prospects:

Brignac:.177/.218/.248 (absolutely putrid and reports also said that there was alot of listless playing)

Antonelli:.214/.333/.268

Mayberry:214/.306/.405

Obviously, the SOs are of concern, but LaPorta had almost as many (28) and he is on the list (granted there is age difference, but LaPorta's defense is not good either in LF or 1B). LaPorta's one big tool is power, so his slugging % should be higher (and it is at .500), his BA is about the same (his is .241) and the OPB is similar, although his is higher (.351).