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Orioles in 1st place


oldbird

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I always think it's interesting to check the various playoff % projections throughout the season. I'm not a 100% believer in such things but I'm not a non-believer either.

Fangraphs odds currently has us at 20.7% to win the division and 41.9% to make the playoffs. That's second in the division (behind BOS) and fourth in the AL (behind BOS, CLE, HOU, all of whom are currently under .500). On Opening Day they had us at 11.8% for the playoffs, last in the AL.

Great start. But as we saw last year, just as a great two weeks can give a big boost a bad two weeks can do tons of damage.

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