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Cashner signing


jcaponio

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4 minutes ago, theocean said:

I know this is totally ridiculous, but just for fun:

Cashner had a 4.6 WAR last year. Ubaldo had -1.3 WAR. So 5.9 additional WAR with this signing.

Manny had a 3.5 WAR last year - let's say he gets back to 6 WAR this year.

Trumbo has -.6 WAR, Davis has -.1 WAR - let's just say they put up 0 WAR each this year.

Hardy had -.5 WAR. Beckham had a 3.3 WAR - let's just say that change results in 2 WAR.

Miley had -.3 WAR, Tillman had -2.2 WAR - let's just say their replacements put up 0 WAR this year.

That's 14.1 additional WAR in 2018 than 2017. Or 89.1 wins.

Again, this is a totally ridiculous WAR exercise. But, even without another signing, it is NOT crazy the O's can compete for the Wild Card in 2018.

If you believe that 4.6 WAR is real and repeatable. Eye test disagrees but maybe Cashner has some kind of magic on balls in play.

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Just now, Aristotelian said:

If you believe that 4.6 WAR is real and repeatable. Eye test disagrees but maybe Cashner has some kind of magic on balls in play.

I don't think he repeats that. But, I think he'll look like an ace compared to Tillman and Ubaldo last year. Lot of addition by subtraction for the O's in 2018.

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Found this write up in a BlueJays pup:

Quote

Cashner is one of several serviceable starters left waiting for a new home, and his market could heat up in a hurray if/when Darvish and/or Jake Arrieta sign somewhere. There’s a solid argument to be made that Cashner is the 5th best remaining rotation piece, with Alex Cobb and Lance Lynn still remaining available as well. The difference between Cashner and the other four might be how flexible his contract demands may be, as he’s in a slightly different position.

 

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Just now, clapdiddy said:

Is Cashner hurt?

Exactly.

Look, we should be thrilled with a 4.50 out of Cashner pitching in Camden Yards. But understand you're getting a guy who won't be agonizing to watch pitch, and you're getting a guy who throws an anchor into the rotation. Now you have two young guys with upside, a veteran with ML capability, and 2 rotation holes is infinitely easier to deal with than 3. 

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