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Jackson Holliday 2023


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Baseball America asked their 7 writers who they thought the #1 prospect was now.  It basically came down to Holliday, Elly De La Cruz, and Jackson Chourio. 3 votes for De La Cruz, 3 votes for Holliday, 1 vote for Chourio.

Carlos Collazo: For me it’s Jackson Holliday. My question for any doubters would simply be: what is the hole in Holliday’s game that prevents him from being the No. 1 prospect in baseball? The only case against him in my mind is the fact that he hasn’t yet played in the upper minors, and as Ben noted in his rationale, this is a 19-year-old who was playing high school baseball last spring. It’s hardly his fault that he hasn’t yet been promoted. His career minor league numbers are fantastic: .367/.512/.608 with seven home runs, 15 stolen bases, a 23.1% walk rate and a 15.8% strikeout rate. His pitch recognition and plate discipline already seem elite and he pairs plus or better tools, a premium position, a lefthanded bat and tantalizing physical projection to the mix as well. Holliday has not yet reached his physical maturity and yet he’s still hitting the ball harder on average than Jackson Chourio, Elly De La Cruz and James Wood—all of whom are older and quite a bit more physical. He’s got the positional advantage on all three of those players, and has a chance to provide plus defense at shortstop with plus speed as well. So, he hasn’t played at Double-A yet. That doesn’t bother me at all, particularly at a time where the top-100 talent seems down and when there’s no clear-cut upper-level hitter in front of him who offers a better combination of pure upside and polish.

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15 minutes ago, Mr-splash said:

I stopped responding because I didnt want to debate the topic anymore. I said what I said. His BABIP seems a little inflated. Take it for what you want. Its up to you. What you do with that information is up to you.

No one is disagreeing with you but you seem to be disparaging him for it.

I bet your hero, Adam Frazier, has a high BABiP the last week or so. That always happens to guys on hot streaks and when they are cold, the BABiP is very low.

Neither is all that sustainable.  We all know this. It’s obvious info.

We all know he’s not going to be a better average hitter than Gwynn and out OPS peak Bonds. 

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How does anyone know what type hitter he will be? You have r ma pretty good idea, nothing is guaranteed. He could be a better hitter than Gwynn, did Gwynn hit .400 in his first 50 games? The fun part will be watching him develop and get to the majors. Even better win a few WS either the orioles 

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30 minutes ago, RZNJ said:

Baseball America asked their 7 writers who they thought the #1 prospect was now.  It basically came down to Holliday, Elly De La Cruz, and Jackson Chourio. 3 votes for De La Cruz, 3 votes for Holliday, 1 vote for Chourio.

Holliday would get my vote too.  The plate discipline and contact skills is the separator.  

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I didn't read all 41 pages of posts... but MiLB doesn't have his home and away splits at Aberdeen.  While his AVG and OBP are still outstanding, it appears his SLG is lower along with RBI's which may have be a result of the park and it's impact on the rest of the Ironbirds.  Buy hey, they are statistics and anyone can cherry pick the good and the bad.  I just don't see a whole lotta bad.

GP   AB   R  H TB 2B 3B HR RBI BB IBB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG
9 HOME 26 10 10 15 2 0 1 2 9 0 6 2 2 0.385 0.543 0.577
15 AWAY 58 16 24 45 4 4 3 18 12 0 11 6 2 0.414 0.514 0.776
24 TOTAL 84 26 34 60 6 4 4 20 21 0 17 8 4 0.405 0.524 0.714

 

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7 hours ago, Can_of_corn said:

Of course there is luck.  You think Frazier's HR last night wasn't the product of luck?

That one, happily, was the Yankees not having enough good pitchers and leaning on a good not great pitcher deep in the game.

It is nice when the Yankees don't have enough good things!

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6 hours ago, Can_of_corn said:

Yep, and a HR that is a HR in either 1 or 3 ballparks out of 30 is a product of luck. 

I agree with this - hadn't gotten all the way to it in the scroll on the victory lap at Nestor Cortes' expense.     I only got to see in the highlights this morning - looked like a weak cookie from a starter at the end of his rope.

On brand for Adam Frazier to barely be able to scrape Yankee RF short porch with it.

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35 minutes ago, Aglets said:

Alright guys.   My fault.  Im at Ironbirds game tonight.   Holliday struck out on 3 pitches first time up.....and just muffed a grounder in the 3rd.

 

I should have known better.

Leave. Now.

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10 hours ago, Can_of_corn said:

From what I've seen the actual park factors are not that severe for Aberdeen.

Sadly, the best source for those that I've found is behind the BA paywall.

Type remove paywall into google and you should be able to find a few sites that can bypass that issue. 

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Jackson Holliday is putting up a .398/.518/.693 stat line in his first 110 plate appearances at Aberdeen. If he keeps this up throughout the month of June there has to be serious consideration of promoting Holliday to Bowie.

I've never seen an Orioles prospect have such a meteoric rise to start their professional baseball career. Right now he seems to good to be true. 

https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=hollid000jac

Edited by OsFanSinceThe80s
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