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Worlds of Geek-ery Collide


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When I saw the title of this thread, I figured it was about Nate Silver joining the Baseball Tonight team as an analyst. For those who aren't familiar with Nate, he developed the PECOTA system.

Isn't he the one who turned his attentions toward elections as well? What is it? 538.com or something.

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Don't know.

Guess you're right. Wikipedia

In March 2008, Silver established his own blog FiveThirtyEight.com, in which he developed a system for tracking and forecasting the outcome of the 2008 U.S. presidential election. At the same time, he continued making forecasts of the 2008 Democratic primary elections. That several of his forecasts based on demographic analysis proved to be substantially more accurate than those of the professional pollsters gained visibility and professional credibility for "Poblano."

As a result, his blog generated a growing following among political junkies, increasing numbers of whom contributed constructive and critical comments on his columns. In addition, he posted the results there of some pro bono work that he provided to Progress Illinois estimating the possible impact of increased voting by African Americans, Latinos, and young people in the November election on Obama's chances of success – something that was dubbed "The Poblano Effect."

At the end of May, Silver revealed his identity to his readers on FiveThirtyEight.com.

Silver's final 2008 presidential election forecast accurately predicted the winner of 49 of the 50 states as well as the District of Columbia (missing only the prediction for Indiana). As his model predicted, the races in Missouri and North Carolina were particularly close. He also correctly predicted the winners of every U.S. Senate race that has been resolved. The accuracy of his predictions won him further acclaim, including abroad.

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