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2022 early look top prospects


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50 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

Have we even seen the #1 pick receive full slot? 

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/sports/mlb/tigers/2020/06/30/detroit-tigers-sign-no-1-overall-pick-spencer-torkelson/5352084002/

Quote

 

The Tigers have signed Spencer Torkelson, the No. 1 overall pick in this year’s draft, the team announced Tuesday.

According to MLB.com’s Jim Callis, the deal includes a record signing bonus of $8,416,300, and a signing contingency bonus of $2,500. The total value of the contract is more than the slot value, making Torkelson the first player in the era of rookie pools to surpass the slot value.

 

 

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On 1/17/2022 at 6:52 PM, RZNJ said:

I am guessing that Druw Jones is more a scouts player and I would guess if Elias goes HS player he would lean in that direction.

I could be wrong, but unless a high school kid is the clear and obvious choice as 1:1, I'm betting he goes with one of the high floor college guys because he has more data on them including 2-3 years of college stats. 

Saying that, the two high school hitters he's given a million plus to (Henderson and Mayo) are both top prospects in the system.

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https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/mlb-draft-prospects-2022-ranking-top-50-players-in-the-class-with-termarr-johnson-at-no-1/

1. Termarr Johnson, 2B, Mays HS (GA)

Johnson is a special offensive prospect as well as the beneficiary of a hype blizzard. One veteran scout told CBS Sports that projecting Johnson's hit tool to become an 80 (that is, the highest grade and most important aspect of a player's game) was an easy decision. Other evaluators have dared to debate how Johnson stacks up to Wander Franco when he was 17 years old, and have offered Guardians third baseman José Ramírez as a best-case scenario comparison. (Best case indeed.) Some, if not all of that could prove to be overzealous by the time draft day arrives. Still, Johnson offers a lot to like, including a mature approach and a feel for the barrel that has earned him a reputation for being able to hit any pitch in any count to any field. He came into his strength late last season, and the natural loft on his swing bodes well for his future power production. The biggest downside to his game is his future defensive position, with second base serving as the safest bet. Johnson hasn't yet committed to a college; he won't need to if his desire is to begin his pro career later this year.

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50 minutes ago, calsmanystances said:

 

https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/mlb-draft-prospects-2022-ranking-top-50-players-in-the-class-with-termarr-johnson-at-no-1/

1. Termarr Johnson, 2B, Mays HS (GA)

Johnson is a special offensive prospect as well as the beneficiary of a hype blizzard. One veteran scout told CBS Sports that projecting Johnson's hit tool to become an 80 (that is, the highest grade and most important aspect of a player's game) was an easy decision. Other evaluators have dared to debate how Johnson stacks up to Wander Franco when he was 17 years old, and have offered Guardians third baseman José Ramírez as a best-case scenario comparison. (Best case indeed.) Some, if not all of that could prove to be overzealous by the time draft day arrives. Still, Johnson offers a lot to like, including a mature approach and a feel for the barrel that has earned him a reputation for being able to hit any pitch in any count to any field. He came into his strength late last season, and the natural loft on his swing bodes well for his future power production. The biggest downside to his game is his future defensive position, with second base serving as the safest bet. Johnson hasn't yet committed to a college; he won't need to if his desire is to begin his pro career later this year.

Also from your article:

 

 If DeLauter does end up being picked by the Orioles, it'll be appropriate; one scout said that he's Colton Cowser with a grade and half more power. Cowser was, of course, happily selected fifth overall by the Orioles last draft. 

 

MLB draft prospects 2022: Ranking top 50 players in the class, with Termarr Johnson at No. 1 (cbssports.com)

 

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3 hours ago, Paul in Virginia said:

Also from your article:

 

 If DeLauter does end up being picked by the Orioles, it'll be appropriate; one scout said that he's Colton Cowser with a grade and half more power. Cowser was, of course, happily selected fifth overall by the Orioles last draft. 

 

MLB draft prospects 2022: Ranking top 50 players in the class, with Termarr Johnson at No. 1 (cbssports.com)

 

 

One last gem from that article:

 

Indeed, scouts start to sound like Dr. Seuss when they talk about Elijah Green's whiffing: he will swing and miss on pitches fast and slow; he will swing and miss on pitches high and low; he will swing and miss all the time; he will swing and miss at this rhyme. 

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https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/mlb-draft-four-storylines-to-know-including-kumar-rockers-situation-and-orioles-early-field-for-no-1-pick/

The early field for the No. 1 pick 

The Orioles "earned" the third No. 1 pick in their franchise history in unusual fashion: by virtue of a tiebreaker. Baltimore and the Arizona Diamondbacks had the same record in both 2021 and 2020, necessitating the league go off 2019 results to dictate the draft order. Whereas the Diamondbacks were a respectable 85-77 back in 2019, the Orioles were a dismal 54-108; ergo, Baltimore will get its choice of the field come July.

Who might join Ben McDonald and Adley Rutschman as the Orioles' No. 1 picks? Georgia prep infielder Termarr Johnson would seem to be the favorite based on his offensive ceiling, but it's too early to know for certain. Industry sources who spoke with CBS Sports suggested it's within the realm of possibility that the Orioles become enamored with either James Madison outfielder Chase DeLauter or Cal Poly infielder Brooks Lee, ranked No. 2 and No. 3 on the preseason top 50, by decision time.

There's also the likelihood that Mike Elias turns to his old portfolio playbook, and drafts the most talented player who will accept the lowest signing bonus as a means of freeing up money for the rest of his class. It's anyone's guess at this point as to whether any of the three names above would fit that billing. 

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On 2/17/2022 at 4:01 PM, LookinUp said:

Seems really likely to me that the last paragraph is the most likely. They'll take the best bat at the lowest price and try to load up with a couple of over slots later.

I'd love them to take the top arm, but they're smarter than me.

I like the strategy of taking the best bat at the lowest price this year. As of now, there doesn’t seem to be a clear choice at #1. Might as well get one of the contenders for top pick while saving money to pick up over slots later. 

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