Jump to content

Adley is in the Show!


Sports Guy

Recommended Posts

1 hour ago, Moose Milligan said:

Ommmg guys like what was your first thoughts of Adley today?

 

I was like woah and then he struck out in his first at bat I was like nah not so much but then he hit a triple and it was like woah again so idk mixed bag but like I’m excited af cause the futures here and I think he’s really gonna be great lollll 

https://youtu.be/8qrriKcwvlY

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Moose Milligan said:

Ommmg guys like what was your first thoughts of Adley today?

 

I was like woah and then he struck out in his first at bat I was like nah not so much but then he hit a triple and it was like woah again so idk mixed bag but like I’m excited af cause the futures here and I think he’s really gonna be great lollll 

Pretty weak he didn’t hit for the cycle. 
 

 

 

 

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

If you want, I can send you one of the ones I got.  If you want to PM me your address, I’ll drop it in the mail.

You sure about that? Very nice of you to offer. Appreciate it. 
 

If I could only figure out how to pm you  I must not have something set up right. 

 

Heading to sleep. I’ll look into it tomorrow. Thanks again. 

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

For the record, if he spends the rest of the year in the majors, Rutschman will earn 138 days of service this year, 2.138 by the end of 2024.  Here’s a list of the Super 2 cutoffs since 2009:

2021: 2.116 June 13

2020: 2.125 June 4

2019: 2.115 June 14

2018: 2.134 May 26

2017: 2.123 June 6

2016: 2.131 May 29

2015: 2.130 May 30

2014: 2.133 May 27

2013: 2.122 June 7

2012: 2.140 May 20

2011: 2.146 May 14

2010: 2.122 June 7 

2009: 2.139 May 21

As you can see, the trend since 2013 is for the Super 2 cut off to be lower than Rutschman’s projected 2.138.   But that trend might reverse a bit with the new CBA encouraging earlier debuts to a modest extent.   We’ll find out 29 months from now.  

  • Upvote 1
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Frobby said:

 

For the record, if he spends the rest of the year in the majors, Rutschman will earn 138 days of service this year, 2.138 by the end of 2024.  Here’s a list of the Super 2 cutoffs since 2009:

2021: 2.116 June 13

2020: 2.125 June 4

2019: 2.115 June 14

2018: 2.134 May 26

2017: 2.123 June 6

2016: 2.131 May 29

2015: 2.130 May 30

2014: 2.133 May 27

2013: 2.122 June 7

2012: 2.140 May 20

2011: 2.146 May 14

2010: 2.122 June 7 

2009: 2.139 May 21

As you can see, the trend since 2013 is for the Super 2 cut off to be lower than Rutschman’s projected 2.138.   But that trend might reverse a bit with the new CBA encouraging earlier debuts to a modest extent.   We’ll find out 29 months from now.  

Not worried about Super 2 but I thought he was superhuman and came down from Mount Olympus. Now I  find out he is only human.Not a god like Zues,Mercury and Kim Kardashian. 

Faced with astronomical expectations, Adley Rutschman and the Orioles try to minimize pressure: ‘He’s just a human’ – Baltimore Sun
https://www.baltimoresun.com/sports/orioles/bs-sp-adley-rutschman-orioles-pressure-expectations-20220522-2acfool64fforcxi64j2wvdvoy-story.html

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Frobby said:

 

For the record, if he spends the rest of the year in the majors, Rutschman will earn 138 days of service this year, 2.138 by the end of 2024.  Here’s a list of the Super 2 cutoffs since 2009:

2021: 2.116 June 13

2020: 2.125 June 4

2019: 2.115 June 14

2018: 2.134 May 26

2017: 2.123 June 6

2016: 2.131 May 29

2015: 2.130 May 30

2014: 2.133 May 27

2013: 2.122 June 7

2012: 2.140 May 20

2011: 2.146 May 14

2010: 2.122 June 7 

2009: 2.139 May 21

As you can see, the trend since 2013 is for the Super 2 cut off to be lower than Rutschman’s projected 2.138.   But that trend might reverse a bit with the new CBA encouraging earlier debuts to a modest extent.   We’ll find out 29 months from now.  

That trend would indicate more teams holding back their players, likely for financial reasons, since 2013.  However, that isn’t the case this year.  Seeing as this date has come into play before and we are right around it, I think it’s fair to say the Os had some plan for it and figure there’s a chance that he isn’t a super 2.

Of course, they could have waited a little longer to ensure it but they likely have some way of figuring it out.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

That trend would indicate more teams holding back their players, likely for financial reasons, since 2013.  However, that isn’t the case this year.  Seeing as this date has come into play before and we are right around it, I think it’s fair to say the Os had some plan for it and figure there’s a chance that he isn’t a super 2.

Of course, they could have waited a little longer to ensure it but they likely have some way of figuring it out.

I think it is interesting that Nolan Gorman and Matt Liberatore got called up the day before.

Might very well be a coincidence or maybe their computer spat out the same projected date?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think it’s just really hard to predict it in advance, because many players who eventually reach 2-3 years of service don’t take a linear path to get there.   They’re in the majors, they’re back in the minors, and so on for a couple of years.  I bet if I looked at who the Super 2’s were this year, there’s probably a good percentage of them who fit that category.   

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, Frobby said:

I think it’s just really hard to predict it in advance, because many players who eventually reach 2-3 years of service don’t take a linear path to get there.   They’re in the majors, they’re back in the minors, and so on for a couple of years.  I bet if I looked at who the Super 2’s were this year, there’s probably a good percentage of them who fit that category.   

Sure but I think it’s probably pretty easy to take an educated guess based off of the data they have and how it’s done.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

59 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

That trend would indicate more teams holding back their players, likely for financial reasons, since 2013.

I looked into this, and believe that 2013 was the year that the percentage of 2-3 year players who qualify as Super 2 increased from 17 to 22.   So that explains why the cutoff date has generally been later starting in 2013.    It’s not that the teams suddenly got more clever.   

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 hours ago, Sports Guy said:

If you want, I can send you one of the ones I got.  If you want to PM me your address, I’ll drop it in the mail.

 

5 hours ago, Going Underground said:

Maybe call your Account Executive ?

Might be able to get one for you also 

I’m going to contact the Orioles tomorrow.  Still may take you up on your offer. Thanks again. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Posts

    • Some time in the 2010's, I heard Sam Miller on Effectively Wild guess by 2050 starting and relieving as baseball has known them would mostly go extinct save for perhaps the best 20-30 talents (maybe think Kyle Bradish on up these days). Living through it, we'll get to see our Orioles contribute a verse as they scientifically curate the careers of Grayson Rodriguez, Chayce McDermott, Luis De Leon and others. Cade Povich with a strong assortment of benders and not a huge fastball for me is trending towards the Kyle Gibson way of leading his team in regular season innings pitched and being a marginal Start/Sit if his team makes the postseason. With good fortune by the end of 2026 Cade Povich will be almost as prominent an MLBPA member as Grayson Rodriguez as the players collaborate on negotiating priorities.    Like say maybe...the club's current opportunity to make a pitcher's 6.000 years of team control take up 7-8 years of their baseball lives in the best case scenario because they "aren't built up" to be Roy Halladay.
    • A lot of guys on that list have also just had a very hard time staying healthy.  Haskin has done some good things but missed a lot of time.  Servideo missed a lot of time.  Ardoin actually has had a decent career so far for a 4th rounder. Reed Trimble is another guy that just can't stay on the field.  Looks like he made it about 2 weeks this year before going on the IL yet again.  Not sure what the injury is (yes RZ I did google it :))
    • Have you ever seen them in the same room together…? 
    • What a bummer, especially means. Glad we got to see some vintage Means in his first start back. I'd love to bring him back on a two year deal 
    • What he's been able to do at the plate has been a nice pick-me-up for the a team that has had multiple hitters struggling at the same time. For me though, watching how he's handled 2B this season has been a treat. The tag on the SB attempt last night was a play that not all 2B make.    There's been times I would have traded or released him for nothing, but right now I'm really glad he's still here.
    • If he stays right where he is right now hitting .245, he has very nice value. On pace for a 3-4 war season. As a secondary piece, that’s huge.
    • Adding relievers should be the priority, but that doesn't mean Elias won't look to strengthen our staff or add a hitter as well.  I'm not expecting us to trade for Luzardo, but it's a possibility with the injuries that our staff has been through. 
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...