Calling for Rain all day Friday.

[Ripken]

Argh. I can go Friday but can not go Saturday so I can't really risk Friday's game being moved. I guess I could shoot for Sunday (if there is one). Man, and we just had all this great weather...

[ChuckS]

look up a few posts mate....

Seems to be some speculation, no definitive answer.

[saltman241]

Seems to be some speculation, no definitive answer.

There is abolutely a definitive answer. If you have tickets to GAME 1 you're tickets are good for GAME 1. Period. Same with GAME 2 or 3.

[Fla_O'sfan]

Two of us are flying up tomorrow and have 2 tickets in section 15 for game #2. I fly out Sunday afternoon and if game #2 gets pushed to Sunday, will not be able to go. I'm just wondering if there is someone willing to swap 2 tickets for game#1 for 2 tickets to game #2.......obviously will not be in the same section, but looking for something somewhat similar.

[Nevermore]

According to today's Sun, it looks as though it will be intermittent rain. Probably some rain delays, but they will get the game in. If the game is postponed, then wouldn't the usual rain check rules apply?

[Dipper9]

People with tickets for Game 1 will see game 1. So if Friday is rained out, then people with tickets on Friday will see Saturday's game. People with Saturdays tickets will be pushed to Sunday

I really cannot comprehend how this is so confusing to people. The tickets clearly say HOME GAME 1, HOME GAME 2, etc. We didn't buy tickets for Friday October 10, 2014. We bought tickets to HOME GAME 1, whenever that may be (hopefully Friday but maybe Saturday). Hell, if a blizzard comes through tomorrow and doesn't melt for a month, HOME GAME 1 could be the week before Thanksgiving.

[CWalston108]

If they're going to call it, I hope they call it early. I have a 3 hour drive both ways Friday, and I'd hate to drive and not see anything. I'm sure a large number of folks have long commutes, flights, etc.

[saltman241]

If they're going to call it, I hope they call it early. I have a 3 hour drive both ways Friday, and I'd hate to drive and not see anything. I'm sure a large number of folks have long commutes, flights, etc.

#Postseasonproblems

[CWalston108]

#Postseasonproblems

The struggle is real. No matter what happens though, I'll be there.

[nattyboh]

weather.com is backing away from 1" of rain and now forecasting 1/2" rain. Closer to NWS guidance but still off aways IMHO.

You can play baseball in 1/2" of rain.

NWS at 10:36 Am:

THE STATIONARY BOUNDARY WILL BE DRAPED ACROSS CENTRAL VIRGINIA

INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT. LOW

PRESSURE ALONG THE BOUNDARY OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BEGIN TO

PUSH EASTWARD TOWARD THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL

CAUSE OVERRUNNING TO INCREASE ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE

BOUNDARY...AND THIS WILL CAUSE RAIN TO MOVE INTO THE WESTERN

PORTIONS OF THE AREA...ESPECIALLY LATE.

THERE/S NOT A LOT OF DISPARITY IN MOS MAXT...AND A BLEND OF BIAS-

CORRECTED GRIDS USED. NOCTURNAL COOLING SHUD BE LMTD BY CLDS...BUT

EVAP MAY COUNTERBALANCE THAT EFFECT A LTL. BLENDED IN MET

MIN-T...WHICH IS THE BETTER LOW TEMP PERFORMER.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...

FRONTOGENESIS SHARPENS FRI...AND A SFC LOW /REFLECTION OF MID-LVL

S/WV/ RUNS ALONG THIS BNDRY FRI NGT. BASED ON GNRL CONSENSUS...HV

BUMPED POPS UP TO CAT...SPCLY FRI AFTN-EVE. MDL QPF SUGGESTING

QUARTER TO HALF INCH PSBL...PLACED JUST N OF SFC BNDRY WHERE

OVERRUNNING STRONGEST. THUS HIEST POPS/QPF FM SHD-DCA-NAK NWD TO PA

BRDR.

Here's my crack-smoke analysis. Believe at Your own risk:

What this means is that where the warm front is moving fastest, it will have the most energy with it, and thus can be expected to have higher amounts of water fall out of the sky. The Low will push the warm air counterclockwise-- this is from the south.

That area is not expected to be in our area. It looks to me one of the areas where the warm front is expected to move the fastest is down the Shanandoah Valley. This makes sense, since its at the lower elevation relative to the surrounding areas and the extra weight of the atmosphere will push it faster, and the Valley will create a channel effect (analogous to 'Chinook' or 'Santa Ana' winds but in this case the air is moist not dry). Will also have a windward effect stealing moisture out of the sky as the warm air travels up the other side of the valley it will be at a higher elevation-- and thus the same moisture will be appear to be a lot more humid in the cooler ambient air at the higher elevation relative to a warmer ambient air temperature at sea level. and more rain will fall out. Warmer air can hold more moisture than cooler air. NWS is only calling for 1/2" of rain in these locales.

I'm not scared.

[Dipper9]

With the JJ extension and the Cruz rumors, all I see are sunny skies tomorrow!!!!

Hell Yeah!

[Rene88]

weather.com is backing away from 1" of rain and now forecasting 1/2" rain. Closer to NWS guidance but still off aways IMHO.

You can play baseball in 1/2" of rain.

NWS at 10:36 Am:

THE STATIONARY BOUNDARY WILL BE DRAPED ACROSS CENTRAL VIRGINIA

INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT. LOW

PRESSURE ALONG THE BOUNDARY OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BEGIN TO

PUSH EASTWARD TOWARD THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL

CAUSE OVERRUNNING TO INCREASE ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE

BOUNDARY...AND THIS WILL CAUSE RAIN TO MOVE INTO THE WESTERN

PORTIONS OF THE AREA...ESPECIALLY LATE.

THERE/S NOT A LOT OF DISPARITY IN MOS MAXT...AND A BLEND OF BIAS-

CORRECTED GRIDS USED. NOCTURNAL COOLING SHUD BE LMTD BY CLDS...BUT

EVAP MAY COUNTERBALANCE THAT EFFECT A LTL. BLENDED IN MET

MIN-T...WHICH IS THE BETTER LOW TEMP PERFORMER.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...

FRONTOGENESIS SHARPENS FRI...AND A SFC LOW /REFLECTION OF MID-LVL

S/WV/ RUNS ALONG THIS BNDRY FRI NGT. BASED ON GNRL CONSENSUS...HV

BUMPED POPS UP TO CAT...SPCLY FRI AFTN-EVE. MDL QPF SUGGESTING

QUARTER TO HALF INCH PSBL...PLACED JUST N OF SFC BNDRY WHERE

OVERRUNNING STRONGEST. THUS HIEST POPS/QPF FM SHD-DCA-NAK NWD TO PA

BRDR.

Here's my crack-smoke analysis. Believe at Your own risk:

What this means is that where the warm front is moving fastest, it will have the most energy with it, and thus can be expected to have higher amounts of water fall out of the sky. The Low will push the warm air counterclockwise-- this is from the south.

That area is not expected to be in our area. It looks to me one of the areas where the warm front is expected to move the fastest is down the Shanandoah Valley. This makes sense, since its at the lower elevation relative to the surrounding areas and the extra weight of the atmosphere will push it faster, and the Valley will create a channel effect (analogous to 'Chinook' or 'Santa Ana' winds but in this case the air is moist not dry). Will also have a windward effect stealing moisture out of the sky as the warm air travels up the other side of the valley it will be at a higher elevation-- and thus the same moisture will be appear to be a lot more humid in the cooler ambient air at the higher elevation relative to a warmer ambient air temperature at sea level. and more rain will fall out. Warmer air can hold more moisture than cooler air. NWS is only calling for 1/2" of rain in these locales.

I'm not scared.

That's better analysis than Foot's! Thank you kindly sir.

I did see on Accuweather the rain totals were very light. I am shocked that anyone would call tomorrow a wash out as a result. Silly.

[JDBirds10]

That's better analysis than Foot's! Thank you kindly sir.

I did see on Accuweather the rain totals were very light. I am shocked that anyone would call tomorrow a wash out as a result. Silly.

I haven't really studied the weather like some of you but for what it is worth weather.com had a 90% chance of rain for tomorrow most of the day today. Within the last couple hours it has downgraded to 50%.... Not sure exactly if things are looking more promising or not.

[JDBirds10]

Not sure which weather forecast to believe. Weather.com has a 50% chance of rain tomorrow. NOAA.gov says 100% chance of showers. The more, however, I look at the radar and rain moving in, I don't think it will be a washout by any means. I think there will be a steady rain but I am thinking that they can play through it. I may be wrong. We will see!

[nattyboh]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

231 PM EDT THU OCT 9 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

A STATIONARY BOUNDARY WILL DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL VIRGINIA TONIGHT

AND IT WILL REMAIN NEARBY THROUGH FRIDAY WHILE IT STRENGTHENS. LOW

PRESSURE WILL RIDE ALONG THE BOUNDARY FRIDAY NIGHT AND HIGH

PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK AND A STRONG

COLD FRONT MAY IMPACT THE AREA DURING THE MIDDLE PORTION OF NEXT

WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...

A WEAK STATIONARY BOUNDARY REMAINS BETWEEN SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE

OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE

CAROLINAS. FORCING IS WEAK ALONG THE FRONT AND THERE IS LITTLE

TEMPERATURE OR DEWPOINT GRADIENT. THEREFORE...IT WILL NOT HAVE AN

IMPACT ON OUR WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...HIGH AND MID-LEVEL

CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS MOISTURE

MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. A FEW SPRINKLES/AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN

CANNOT BE RULED OUT NEAR THE POTOMAC HIGHLANDS AND SHENANDOAH

VALLEY AS A JET MAX IN THE ZONAL FLOW ALOFT SWINGS THROUGH.

HOWEVER...THE LOW- LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY SO ANY RAIN

WILL BE LIGHT.

THE STATIONARY BOUNDARY WILL BE DRAPED ACROSS CENTRAL VIRGINIA

INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT. LOW

PRESSURE ALONG THE BOUNDARY OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BEGIN TO

PUSH EASTWARD TOWARD THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TONIGHT. A FEW SPRINKLES

AND AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN CANNOT BE RULED OUT THIS

EVENING...ESPECIALLY NEAR AND WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS BUT

THE STEADIER RAIN FROM THE OVERRUNNING WILL NOT DEVELOP UNTIL LATE

TONIGHT ACROSS THE POTOMAC HIGHLANDS.

THE SURFACE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK THROUGH THE TENNESSEE

VALLEY FRIDAY. THIS WILL INCREASE FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING ALONG

THE STATIONARY BOUNDARY AND OVERRUNNING WILL BE STRONGER. THIS

WILL CAUSE PLENTY OF CLOUDS AND RAIN IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE

AREA. RAIN WILL OCCUR MOST OF THE DAY ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND

WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA...BUT FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE

WASHINGTON METROPOLITAN AREA INTO CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHERN

MARYLAND THE RAIN MAY HOLD OFF UNTIL THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPS WILL

RANGE FROM THE 50S NEAR THE MASON-DIXON LINE TO THE MID AND UPPER

60S NEAR WASHINGTON DC.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/...

LOW PRESSURE WILL RIDE ALONG THE STATIONARY BOUNDARY...PASSING

THROUGH OUR AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BRING MORE RAIN TO THE

ENTIRE AREA. RAIN MAY END TOWARD MORNING AS THE LOW MOVES OFF TO

THE EAST. MIN TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE 40S IN PORTIONS OF

NORTHERN AND WESTERN MARYLAND TO THE UPPER 50S ACROSS CENTRAL

VIRGINIA.

Not a lot of significant changes. Looks to be consistent with latest NAM output. Pretty astonishing temperature gradient though.