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How Many Games Will Orioles Win?

PressBoxOnline

By PressBoxOnline
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esmd All-Star

esmd

Posted
Posted

44-31 in the 2nd half. I think they stabilize the rotation somehow, and really take off in September when the rosters expand and the starters don't need to go as deep into games. Nothing wrong with 95-67!

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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

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The O's have done a great job at home (.702), not so good on the road (.450). If those percentages were applied to the second half schedule, it would project out to 42 wins, for a total of 93. I'd sign up for that this minute.

Another way to look at it is we have played .500 ball against team that are .500ish or better, but .778 ball against the really bad teams. Applying that to the rest of our schedule, we'd win 43 games, for a total of 94.

Still, I can't shake the feeling that we hit a bit over our heads in the first half and won't be able to overcome bad pitching as regularly as we have so far. We've outperformed our pythag by four games so far, and that is not likely to be repeated in the second half. Put me down for 40 wins the rest of the way, total of 91.

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crawjo Major Leaguer Rising Star

crawjo

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My main concern in the second half, if things stay as they've been, is the bullpen. Brach has already thrown nearly 50 innings and is on pace for about 90. O'Day obviously would help with that but I don't know when he's coming back.

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bluedog Veteran All-Star

bluedog

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Posted
The O's have done a great job at home (.702), not so good on the road (.450). If those percentages were applied to the second half schedule, it would project out to 42 wins, for a total of 93. I'd sign up for that this minute.

Another way to look at it is we have played .500 ball against team that are .500ish or better, but .778 ball against the really bad teams. Applying that to the rest of our schedule, we'd win 43 games, for a total of 94.

Still, I can't shake the feeling that we hit a bit over our heads in the first half and won't be able to overcome bad pitching as regularly as we have so far. We've outperformed our pythag by four games so far, and that is not likely to be repeated in the second half. Put me down for 40 wins the rest of the way, total of 91.

We had 51 starts from pitchers with an aggregate 6.00 ERA in the first half. Even if we hit a bit over our heads, the starters definitely pitched well below our knees! (Can I use that as a saying??)

I think that if DD does his job and finds a way to get the team pitching help, an improvement in the rotation should more than cover any regression in offense.

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