Jump to content

Elias J2 International Orioles


interloper

Recommended Posts

21 minutes ago, foxfield said:

We clearly HAVE to start somewhere.  A bunch of signings immediately in June would be a huge change.  If they spend 3.5 million and Corn or anyone else wants to shrug...so be it.  As noted above, the bar is pretty low.  But the comments today, regardless of the outcome, is a tremendously positive change.  I'll take it as a positive step, one of many that will be required to restore this franchise to prominence.  It's a long road boys and girls.  It's not going to take just one speech or one big week.  It's gonna take lots of steps and there will be setbacks.  We know that...right?

I understand that viewpoint.

My viewpoint is if they spend 3.5M or so they might be 28th in spending?  Maybe 30th?

I can't get excited about the prospect of falling less behind than in prior years.  I'm not expecting them to lead the pack but they need to be part of the main body.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, vatech1994 said:

I guess I don’t see the harm in acknowledging this is at minimum a step in the right direction and we’ll see what that actually means.  Until then, we are all speculating anyway and inserting each of our inherent biases.  Why don’t we just take what he said at face value and agree that is an improvement with the degree of improvement TBD?  Seems pretty straightforward to me.

I'm fine with that. 

 

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Can_of_corn said:

If they spend 3.5 million of their $6,481,200 pool I'm not counting that as being wrong.

Will you count it as being right?

I’m expecting an outcome something like that.   It’s hard to spend the full allotment when 29 teams had a head start.    

  • Upvote 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Frobby said:

Will you count it as being right?

I’m expecting an outcome something like that.   It’s hard to spend the full allotment when 29 teams had a head start.    

I wouldn't expect all.

As I said in a more recent post that you probably haven't read yet, I'd like to see middle of the pack results before I buy that ownership is letting him do as he sees fit.

I think 3.5M is a reasonable expectation, that is why I used it.  I also think it will be a disappointing result.

 

As for right or wrong, I'd hold off until the following season and see what the spending is.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

I understand that viewpoint.

My viewpoint is if they spend 3.5M or so they might be 28th in spending?  Maybe 30th?

I can't get excited about the prospect of falling less behind than in prior years.  I'm not expecting them to lead the pack but they need to be part of the main body.

Well, if they spend 2.5M but get quality players they still have more to spend later.  If they spend 6.5M on bodies who are not good, who cares.  Your point is completely fair though and your contention all along is they don't have permission to spend, so...I get it.  I am prepared to accept improvement this year with the expectation that next year we are in a position to get higher in the pack, as you note above.  But at the end of the day, it is the quality that matters most.  We lack talent.

 

  • Upvote 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, Frobby said:

Fantastic interview.    He made it clear that we probably aren’t signing any of the top 7-10 guys and that other teams have been doing advance work for two years on this year’s class, compared to our six months.    But he said we would be making some “significant” signings.     I’m very pleased with that report.    If anything it sounds like we’ll do a little better than I expected in this signing period.  

He didn’t say the top 7 to 10 guys, he said they wouldn’t have the top 7 to 10 highest amount of dollars spent on a player.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

41 minutes ago, atomic said:

He didn’t say the top 7 to 10 guys, he said they wouldn’t have the top 7 to 10 highest amount of dollars spent on a player.

True.    I’m assuming a meritocracy where the players who are considered the 7-10 best get the most money.   Of course they won’t actually turn out to be the 7-10 best.    Hopefully someone we sign will be up there.   

Link to comment
Share on other sites

54 minutes ago, Frobby said:

True.    I’m assuming a meritocracy where the players who are considered the 7-10 best get the most money.   Of course they won’t actually turn out to be the 7-10 best.    Hopefully someone we sign will be up there.   

Like panning for gold nuggets. Takes experience to do it well but you have to have some luck too.

 

gold-pan-9-1-16.jpg

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 hours ago, Can_of_corn said:

If the O's spend roughly half their allotted pool will folks be happy with the progress?  

i can see the case for it but I wouldn't agree.

I’m glad they’re doing something but I see more of a volume signing than signing any guys in the top 30 or 50. Guess we’ll have to wait and see. I’m hoping for the best. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 hours ago, Can_of_corn said:

I wouldn't expect all.

As I said in a more recent post that you probably haven't read yet, I'd like to see middle of the pack results before I buy that ownership is letting him do as he sees fit.

I think 3.5M is a reasonable expectation, that is why I used it.  I also think it will be a disappointing result.

 

As for right or wrong, I'd hold off until the following season and see what the spending is.

At the end of the day, you will most likely be disappointed with whatever the actual result is in the next signing period. I don't say that as a slight to you, really, just that there will still be a disparity between what actually occurs in their first actual year of entering this market and what we envision is possible.

But whatever they do, it looks like it will clearly be the MOST they've done EVER. It doesn't mean it will be effective in terms of that turning into ML talent. But the progress toward that goal will be noteworthy, and their international efforts should only improve from that point on. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 hours ago, Aglets said:

I thought this thread would be more ragging on atomic than corn.  Huh.

Elias is putting up a smokescreen by talking about signings that will never happen while negotiating with Austin for a new ballpark for 2023 after sticking Baltimore with four straight years of 130 losses.  Prove to me that's not happening.  See, atomic could be right.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Posts

    • Why does everybody want to jump and label a kid so fast? What is this, his 2nd major-league season? Yes, certainly they shouldn't go into next year thinking he's a lock for 30+ starts and 180-200 innings but we can't say he's already reached his peak either. 
    • And their defense is very good. To put things in perspective, the Tigers collective dWAR is +0.5. The Orioles is -2.8. Minnesota -4.1, Yankees -0.3, Houston -0.1, Seattle +2.0, Royals at +2.5. The Royals really standout as most of that value is driven by Fermin (catcher) and Witt.  But I think my point is that the Tigers have excellent pitching (starting pitching and bullpen) as well as excellent defense. And they're not putrid with the bats.  I would say the one saving grace about the Tigers is they don't run much. 
    • We could have easily swept Detroit in Baltimore, the lineup we have now is not the lineup they faced. It doesn't matter who the opponent is, just win.
    • Both of them are important to consider here. They could have a mediocre offense every single game of the season, but if the pitching is elite (and it is!), it'll carry them.  We have 6 games against the Tigers this year. And yes, most of them were without the cadre of regulars. But here are the offensive numbers against them: .211/.282/.392 - .674 OPS They scored 20 runs in 6 games against them. Barely scraping 3 R/G. And a good portion of them coming in *1* game.  Out of the WC potentials the O's could face, here are their R/G: Royals: 29 in 6 games = 4.8 R/G Twins: 22 in 3 = 7.3 R/G Mariners: 27 in 6 = 4.5 R/G Tigers: 20 in 6 = 3.3 R/G Out of all the playoff teams, the best RA/G are the Mariners (3.75), Guardians (3.85), and Tigers (4.96). For the playoffs, you want to look at who you're facing on the bump. Which team scares you the most? Because if you can't hit against the team, it doesn't matter what the opposing offense is.  Also you'll want to consider the best fielding teams, too.   Seems to me you'd want to face the team you matchup best against *and* who has the worst defense and worst pitching, because presumably your 3 starters (Burnes, Eflin, Kremer) should be able to hold teams in check. 
    • I'd prefer Detroit - they've been so hot for so long they should be due to cool off. KC has been just the opposite. 
    • I'd say the Royals...pitch around Witt and Salvy Perez who seems to have had our number in recent years.  The rest of their lineup isn't too imposing. Wacha  -a guy I wanted this offseason and was laughed at for wanting him- has a 2.64 ERA over his last 15 starts.  He's the soft-tossing type that gives our lineup fits and, IIRC, he was great against us earlier this year.  Lugo has had a great year, so has Ragans.  Their starters are good. But they're 3-7 over their last 10 while the Tigers are 8-2.  A lot of the postseason, IMO, is catching teams at the right/wrong time.  This could all change by next week but the Tigers are hot, the Royals are not... Then again, I said I wanted to face Texas in the first round last year and look what happened.  So who knows.  
    • Would much rather face KC and to me it’s not close.    game 1 agains Skubal is an L. They’ve proven they can beat us with a bullpen game, a bullpen only behind CLE as best in the AL.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...