Jump to content

Dave Cameron: O's rank as worst organization in baseball


Frobby

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 94
  • Created
  • Last Reply
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/2012-organizational-rankings-30-baltimore/

2012 outlook: 29th

2013+ outlook: 28th

Financial resources: 24th

Baseball operations: 30th

Overall: 30th

Fair enough. I can't argue much w/ the factual statements (though the drop-off is after Schoop, not Machado). It's a pretty narrow analysis full of supposition masking as certainty, but at the same time, the organization has done little to promote confidence.

That said, Cameron's a joke. If, in the process of winning, we get to make him look silly, all the better.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm not buying it. Houston got a huge boost from the most speculative category (Quality of Baseball Ops), while the O's were ranked 30th. The O's are THE worst, just bottom 5 for sure.... as if that's worth anything.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/2012-organizational-rankings-30-baltimore/

2012 outlook: 29th

2013+ outlook: 28th

Financial resources: 24th

Baseball operations: 30th

Overall: 30th

As he points out in his article, he had the O's 16th last year, and now 30th this year. Let's just say...if Bmat, Arrieta rebound the O's will look much better the year following that too.

This ranking seems to be placed in a snapshot bubble. If the O's have some midtier prospects perform, if the new system Duquette put into place pans out, and something can be had from Bmat/Tillman/Arrieta next year he'll have the O's right back in 16th. Their rankings of the farm system and baseball operations seemed to be based a lot around the fact that Duquette wasn't the first choice and the Kim Seong-min thing. Rather than the real overhaul that's going on in the O's MiLB right now.

I really could care less what people like this say though. It seems like it's similar to the same people that ranked Wieters as the biggest draft bust ever type of writing and analysis to me.

Do I think the O's are better than 25th, probably not. But 30th seems a bit low to me.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm not buying it. Houston got a huge boost from the most speculative category (Quality of Baseball Ops), while the O's were ranked 30th. The O's are THE worst, just bottom 5 for sure.... as if that's worth anything.

Houston has a much better shot at contending quicker than the O's do.

Even if you want to say we are more talented top to bottom(which I do believe), they still don't play in our division.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Don't get me wrong, I can't (and won't) really argue with putting us at the bottom. I can quibble with the logic of how they put us there, and the bleakness/certainty with which they do so. Inputs on things like this are imperfect, and constantly moving. Really, all you can reliably do is break orgs up into something like 3-4 tiers. Within those, both mobility and lack-of-predictability reign.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Fair enough. I can't argue much w/ the factual statements (though the drop-off is after Schoop, not Machado). It's a pretty narrow analysis full of supposition masking as certainty, but at the same time, the organization has done little to promote confidence.

That said, Cameron's a joke. If, in the process of winning, we get to make him look silly, all the better.

What's wrong with Dave Cameron? The writing at Fangraphs often leaves something to be desired but he generally has been an exception to that. And I've always enjoyed USS Mariner.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Houston has a much better shot at contending quicker than the O's do.

Even if you want to say we are more talented top to bottom(which I do believe), they still don't play in our division.

They're going to be in the AL West starting in 2013, which has the Rangers and Angels, both of which look pretty set. Not that it's better than the AL East, just that it will also be a tough division.

Also, Fangraphs agrees that O's have more talent and a better outlook (O's ranked better than 'Stros for 2012 and 2013+). But they give Houston the 12th-best baseball ops division, which pushed them ahead. It's a lot of credit for a brand-new front office.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

What's wrong with Dave Cameron? The writing at Fangraphs often leaves something to be desired but he generally has been an exception to that. And I've always enjoyed USS Mariner.

I think he's an ass. I'm happy to concede that he's rubbed me the wrong way for years, and it may be a personal quirk.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.


  • Posts

    • Fantastic pickup by Elias and big kudos to O’Hearn for taking advantage of the resources to improve. He’s a great story. 
    • Given his injury history and what’s happening right now, Means may make more money as an Oriole next year than as a free agent. He may have to settle for league minimum as a FA but would do better than that in arbitration. Heck, unless he’s effective at least a little this year then the orioles might release him after the season to avoid paying more than league minimum. I hope Means recovers, very much so, but this scenario is possible imo.    ps. I guess I ignored the part where you said if Means thinks he is healthy. 
    • What I'd like to see in the next game Holliday plays, is for him to keep his eyes following through on the ball when he swings. In the last game I saw, he was yanking his head off the zone when he swung and couldn't see the bat to the ball. He was missing wildly and it wasn't even competitive. So, keep your eye on the ball! Follow all the way through! If your swing is so violent that it's yanking your head off the sight of the ball, then adjust your mechanics because you can't hit what you can't see!
    • What a great example of pedantic! Please tell us you meant to do that. I honestly can’t tell these days. 
    • Well it certainly doesn't look like he'll be winning Rookie of Year award. And if we send him down for like the tiniest amount of time, we get him for another year, right? I think if this poor hitting continues it's financial mismanagement not to send him back down. Grayson got sent down and came back way better.
    • He certainly isn't a bust but I wasn't happy with the pick at the time and I don't love using the second overall pick for that type of player profile. Westburg signed for slot so he's irrelevant but Mayo was a great use of the money saved.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...