Jump to content

Chris Davis, 2020


Frobby

Recommended Posts

5 hours ago, Redskins Rick said:

How can you not root for him to do well, if you are a fan of the team?

That doesnt meant we stick our head in the sand and pretend there isnt a problem.

At least they are working with identifying the problem and a solution.

Time will tell.

I'm rooting for him, of course.

I'd love to see him hit 50 HRs again, as unlikely as that would be.

But I am concerned that he will show JUST ENOUGH improvement that will make it harder for Elias to convince ownership to let him go.   Suppose he improves to .230/.310/.440.   That's a big jump (almost .150 OPS) from last year.   But it still puts him well below average for a 1B/DH and he is still potentially blocking Mountcastle and/or Mancini from playing first.   And that big jump might buy him a couple extra years of play to the overall detriment of the team.

So I'm in a quandary of sorts.   I like Chris and want him to do better.   But if he does somewhat better, it may hurt the team long term.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, SteveA said:

I'm rooting for him, of course.

I'd love to see him hit 50 HRs again, as unlikely as that would be.

But I am concerned that he will show JUST ENOUGH improvement that will make it harder for Elias to convince ownership to let him go.   Suppose he improves to .230/.310/.440.   That's a big jump (almost .150 OPS) from last year.   But it still puts him well below average for a 1B/DH and he is still potentially blocking Mountcastle and/or Mancini from playing first.   And that big jump might buy him a couple extra years of play to the overall detriment of the team.

So I'm in a quandary of sorts.   I like Chris and want him to do better.   But if he does somewhat better, it may hurt the team long term.

What would be the minimum production people here would accept from Davis to be okay with him being an everyday player next year and beyond?

Would a .240 BA with 20 HR, 75 RBI, and .650 OPS be enough?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Yossarian said:

What would be the minimum production people here would accept from Davis to be okay with him being an everyday player next year and beyond?

Would a .240 BA with 20 HR, 75 RBI, and .650 OPS be enough?

If he hits .240 with 20 HR, his OPS will be north of .700. Probably closer to what @SteveA suggested above.

Personally, I say root for the guy and if we have that problem it will work out. I don't think we will be contending next year. Trey Mancini could be traded, Nunez could develop as a 3B, Mountcastle shocks everyone and plays a passable LF, etc. I don't think we need to root against Davis' (potential) success.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Gatoriole said:

If he hits .240 with 20 HR, his OPS will be north of .700. Probably closer to what @SteveA suggested above.

Personally, I say root for the guy and if we have that problem it will work out. I don't think we will be contending next year. Trey Mancini could be traded, Nunez could develop as a 3B, Mountcastle shocks everyone and plays a passable LF, etc. I don't think we need to root against Davis' (potential) success.

Everyone won't be shocked.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, SteveA said:

I'm rooting for him, of course.

I'd love to see him hit 50 HRs again, as unlikely as that would be.

But I am concerned that he will show JUST ENOUGH improvement that will make it harder for Elias to convince ownership to let him go.   Suppose he improves to .230/.310/.440.   That's a big jump (almost .150 OPS) from last year.   But it still puts him well below average for a 1B/DH and he is still potentially blocking Mountcastle and/or Mancini from playing first.   And that big jump might buy him a couple extra years of play to the overall detriment of the team.

So I'm in a quandary of sorts.   I like Chris and want him to do better.   But if he does somewhat better, it may hurt the team long term.

This team is going to be bad in 2021 as well.  Davis being or not doesn't really hurt much other than Mancini's WAR.  

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, Yossarian said:

What would be the minimum production people here would accept from Davis to be okay with him being an everyday player next year and beyond?

Would a .240 BA with 20 HR, 75 RBI, and .650 OPS be enough?

I'd have to see that OPS at .775 or so.

I'm with @SteveA, worst case scenario is that he improves a little bit, shows some flashes of previous glory days and makes it hard for the FO/ownership to cut bait.

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 hours ago, SteveA said:

I'm rooting for him, of course.

I'd love to see him hit 50 HRs again, as unlikely as that would be.

But I am concerned that he will show JUST ENOUGH improvement that will make it harder for Elias to convince ownership to let him go.   Suppose he improves to .230/.310/.440.   That's a big jump (almost .150 OPS) from last year.   But it still puts him well below average for a 1B/DH and he is still potentially blocking Mountcastle and/or Mancini from playing first.   And that big jump might buy him a couple extra years of play to the overall detriment of the team.

So I'm in a quandary of sorts.   I like Chris and want him to do better.   But if he does somewhat better, it may hurt the team long term.

Trying to find places to play good players is a good place to be.

Give it some time to play out, and lets see what happens.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 hours ago, SteveA said:

I'm rooting for him, of course.

I'd love to see him hit 50 HRs again, as unlikely as that would be.

But I am concerned that he will show JUST ENOUGH improvement that will make it harder for Elias to convince ownership to let him go.   Suppose he improves to .230/.310/.440.   That's a big jump (almost .150 OPS) from last year.   But it still puts him well below average for a 1B/DH and he is still potentially blocking Mountcastle and/or Mancini from playing first.   And that big jump might buy him a couple extra years of play to the overall detriment of the team.

So I'm in a quandary of sorts.   I like Chris and want him to do better.   But if he does somewhat better, it may hurt the team long term.

Baseball is tremendous game.  Chris Davis has been terrible...historically bad for two plus years.  I agree that at this point the absolute worst thing may be an improvement like you describe above.  But in terms of likelihood, the chances of that much improvement are slight.  And if we carry the example to the extreme and push him to an even bigger jump, folks will begin thinking he could be moved.  It would be a great baseball story for Davis to rebound to something close to what you describe.  And I think Davis is arguably blocking 1B/DH now even with the bump to 26.  But until the O's are climbing I don't think they care.  They will cut him when they have to, or he will quit.  In the meantime, we get to hope for improvement. 

I think they know where they are and I think Davis knows where they are.  I hope he crushes 50 this year.  He may be off to one of the better starts in camp.  It won't last, but why not hope that it does!  That would be so cool.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Posts

    • I agree with those who say he probably needs to figure it out in Norfolk, however, they could bring also bring him up for a look when any of Baker, Tate, or Vespi reboard the shuttle. Maybe Povich had earned the call up, whereas they don't think McDermott has done that, but bringing him up as a temporary move couldn't hurt too much for the aforementioned pitchers.
    • Big not necessarily tall is what he is saying.....Basallo is much thicker build, which actually may be better for a catcher anyway. Pudge was not thin--even before roids.
    • With this current starting pitching as is, barring an epic collapse by the Yankees, the chances of us winning the division are very low. Right now, in just about every other series (the series that Burnes and Rodriguez don't start) we are at a talent disadvantage. We have the #1 offense in all of baseball - we have scored the most runs and hit the most home runs and have scored 8, 11, and 17 in the last 3 series and we are all of 4-6 in our last 10 games. It's hard to see us being favored against even a decent team like the Mariners (with our starting pitching as is) given the talent disadvantage in the two rotations. Now we that doesn't mean that we couldn't/wouldn't pull it out. But I doubt that we would be favorites as things are going. And then when you look at a team like the Phillies with their rotation/offense/bullpen or even the Dodgers for that matter, I believe that even if we made it that far, we would be heavy underdogs against either opponent. I don't like our chances of continuously having to rely upon "beating the odds" round after round (I didn't even mention NY if we were to meet them). This is year 3 of Adley, 2 for Gunnar, and possibly our only with Burnes. Without making significant trades or major FA acquisitions, I don't see any near future scenarios where things are better for us, we have more talent or frankly a better opportunity.  Pitching injuries are so significant and so frequent in MLB now, that future projections are hazy at best. Because it is likely that you have to make pitching additions/acquisitions EVERY YEAR in order to seriously compete. If we don't make upgrades/trades this year, when will we do it? And what will be promised to us more than it is now?
    • I was wondering if you thought Coby Mayo should be brought up Roy.  
    • Cano hasn’t achieved consistent movement with his fastball, which really requires run and sink to be effective.  He’s also been hanging too many change ups.  I big part of his turn around last year was dropping to more of a sidearm delivery and his stuff gets flat when he loses that delivery slot.    
    • We need both.  My goal would be two backend bullpen arms and one starter at the deadline.  
    • I'm sorry but who cares about his walk rate. We are using Bryan Baker. We are using Suarez as a starter. We are using Vespi. We are not in a position to nitpick the guy's walk rate.  For god's sake, call up someone who has some upside. It's not like he's going to do much worse than what we have right now. And he might just go nuts out of the bullpen. 
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...