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What are your expectations for John Means in 2024?


Frobby

What are your expectations for John Means in 2024?  

62 members have voted

  1. 1. What are your expectations for John Means in 2024?

    • Under 100 innings, ERA over 4.30
    • Under 100 innings, ERA 3.70-4.30
    • Under 100 innings, ERA under 3.70
    • 100-130 innings, ERA over 4.30
    • 100-130 innings, ERA 3.70-4.30
    • Over 130 innings, ERA 3.70-4.30
    • Over 130 innings, ERA under 3.70

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  • Poll closed on 01/31/24 at 20:04

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3 hours ago, btdart20 said:

I'm usually fairly optimistic.  But I'm still concerned about Means.  A lot of Savant metrics looks like 2021 data though.  Even with some SSS improvements.  But the Babip, low K%, and high LOB% are concerning.   I tend to think 4.30+ ERA.  If there was an over 130 IP and over 4.30 ERA option, I would have chosen that.

There was supposed to be one. I have no idea what happened to it.  Grrrr.

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I expect that he will be an asset to the starting rotation.  The injury that kept him out of the playoffs is a concern.  His peripheral stats in a small sample last year are not a concern to me--I watched his starts carefully and I thought his fastball movement and location were excellent.  His changeup was not sharp, but I think that will come back with time.   

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I am pretty optimistic that Means can have a good season. But if you are projecting. I think 100-130 innings sounds about right. And 3.7-4.3 does too. Could it be better?  Of course. But it could be a whole lot worse. 

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I'm hoping for more than his Steamer projections, especially in the ERA department. I also don't think him having a 2023 Michael Wacha season is out of the realm of possibilties. 

JOHN MEANS' STEAMER PROJECTIONS
4.42 ERA / 135 IP / 23 GS / 7.23 K/9 / 8 W / 8 L

MICHAEL WACHA'S 2023 NUMBERS
3.22 ERA / 134.1 IP / 24 GS / 124 Ks / 14 W / 4 L

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