Jump to content

Santander wants O's extension.


jabba72

Recommended Posts

10 minutes ago, TommyPickles said:

Would you do 3 years, $40 million?

I understand the arguments against it, but yes or no to that price? He can play first base. He's 29. He's averaged 30.5 HR a year over the past two seasons.

Yes if we trade Kjerstad or Cowser. Otherwise no. The problem is he’s blocking prospects. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

48 minutes ago, TommyPickles said:

Would you do 3 years, $40 million?

I understand the arguments against it, but yes or no to that price? He can play first base. He's 29. He's averaged 30.5 HR a year over the past two seasons.

No. Zero desire to have him taking up a pivotal roster spot (in terms of young players we have now and ones coming fast) for the next 3 years.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

32 minutes ago, dystopia said:

Yes if we trade Kjerstad or Cowser. Otherwise no. The problem is he’s blocking prospects. 

For a team that is in it to win it now, I'd take an established 30 hrs / year switch hitter and not worry about blocked prospects.  Plant him at DH and the 3 or 4 hole.  Cowser can be 4th OF, Kjerstad can have RF if they live up to the hype. If not, he can still be quality RF.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, billhatf said:

For a team that is in it to win it now, I'd take an established 30 hrs / year switch hitter and not worry about blocked prospects.  Plant him at DH and the 3 or 4 hole.  Cowser can be 4th OF, Kjerstad can have RF if they live up to the hype. If not, he can still be quality RF.

Which is fine if we can trade the prospects. Otherwise it’s wasted capital. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

18 minutes ago, dystopia said:

Which is fine if we can trade the prospects. Otherwise it’s wasted capital. 

I think there’s room.  There’s also a very decent chance that none of our current products turn out to be as good as Santander.   ZiPS has Santander well ahead of Kjerstad and Cowser over each of the next three seasons.  

I think a lot of people are under the impression that most top 50 prospects are likely to become above average major league players.   That’s not the case.   It’s just what we hope will happen.  
 

  • Upvote 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Frobby said:

I think there’s room.  There’s also a very decent chance that none of our current products turn out to be as good as Santander.   ZiPS has Santander well ahead of Kjerstad and Cowser over each of the next three seasons.  

I think a lot of people are under the impression that most top 50 prospects are likely to become above average major league players.   That’s not the case.   It’s just what we hope will happen.  
 

ZiPS knows about as much about baseball as my left nut. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Seems to be a minority opinion but I'd sign Santander to a reasonable deal similar to the ones mentioned in other posts.  I think his switch hitting capabilities add a lot of lineup flexibility, and I like that we know what we are likely to get from him.  As Frobby has pointed out, there's no guarantee that any of Kjerstad/Stowers/Cowser even work out, and if they do, being signed up to a small extension probably makes Santander easier to trade, not harder.  I also think his personality in the clubhouse is more important than anyone here ever gives credit to (clubhouse presence is generally pooh-poohed around here, from what I've seen).

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Posts

    • I have total faith that he will get a SP and a RP, and those will be without trading any of the top 3 prospects. And the only player Kjerstad could go for is Crochet. (I don’t think Skubal will even be available, and even if the Tigers listen on him he won’t be dealt.) What I don’t have total faith in is how good those SP and RP will be. I think the trade deadline is very unpredictable, and Elias is not the type to overpay to get Option A. He’s more likely to get outbid on Option A and pivot to Options B, C or D at better value, and that all has to happen very quickly in a compressed timeframe right before the deadline. So if things don’t break right they easily could end up with some underwhelming guys like last year.
    • Things to consider… We’re sort of pot committed to try and win a WS this year since we have Butnes.  What has more value?  Skubal for 3 postseasons or Holliday for 6?  Give me the SP.  Isn’t it risk adverse to acquire Skubal and have a big 3 rotation to limit having a red hot lineup beat you?  Ala Rangers.  If not Skubal now, we still have to make a big trade in the offseason to replace Burnes. Why not make the trade now and have that SP paired with Burnes?
    • Are they? Wells doesn't throw hard by today's standards, neither does Means.  
    • IMO I see Skubal as helping us much more than Fedde next year.  I’m concerned about this outlier season from Fedde as nothing more than catching lightening in a bottle (especially at his age and with his track record before this season). Also, for all of the concern over Skubal and Crochet’s innings, Fedde has only thrown something like 133 innings as a career high in a single season.
    • With the caveat that we may have to trade some of their best friends to get those guys.  Do you regard Scherzer as a TOR pitcher you’d be happy getting as the top get?
    • I’m gonna play devils advocate for giggles.  As much as I want to win 2024, I don’t want to trade any of our standout prospects for a starter. I’m growing more and more fond of pitchers who have success because of pitch location and don’t max out on velocity. They’re less sexy, but they’re less vulnerable to TJ and cost less to acquire. Skubal is undoubtedly one of the best pitchers in baseball, but he’s upped his velocity each of the past two years. Means was a middling prospect until he found more velocity…..until he wrecked his arm. How are we going to feel about our competitive window if we give a huge haul for someone like Skubal and he’s under the knife in August? If the Royals stank and Seth Lugo was available, that’s the kind of guy I’d be targeting at a smaller cost of talent. Only a few teams are really out of the WC. If Oakland would trade Joey Estes for Connor Norby (spitballing suggestion only, don’t attack me), we’d probably lose our minds that ME didn’t shoot higher. But all things considered, including risk aversion, I’m not convinced that kind of pitcher and trade (preferably a lefty) wouldn’t be better for us. I don’t want to be on the flip side of a Bedard trade. We can sign a top FA starter (Rubenstein willing) who blows out his arm and not be deeply impacted, but we shouldn’t spend our prospect capital for a short term ace rental who’s lost to injury for his tenure….I’m more inclined to protect our competitive window. 
    • I don’t think any pitcher is a given. All of them carry the risk of the next pitch being the last for the season. But risk should be weighed vs potential reward. The proposition to be considered is what is more risky? Acquiring a starter with very high potential for reward (like Skubal) who is at risk for injury vs. acquiring a lesser talented starter who offers less upside yet still is at risk for injury vs. doing nothing/rolling with what we have with pitchers who are almost assuredly to give you a much lower ceiling and still carry the risk of injury.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...