Jackson Holliday 2024

[Sports Guy]

1 minute ago, Warehouse said:

One thing to note is that Jackson made swing tweaks his first three weeks back in Norfolk but then abandoned them because they “didn’t feel great”.

From this Baltimore Banner article: 

“Earlier, as he fiddled, Holliday felt he was “surviving” and “didn’t feel great” about where his swing was, even though he produced at the Triple-A level upon his return. That has since changed. Over the last two weeks, particularly, Holliday’s return to the mechanics he’s more familiar with has helped him get back on track.”

His contact rate really dropped off when he reverted back to his familiar mechanics. I worry that he gave up on the changes too soon.

First three weeks back vs. after (includes tracked pitches and non-bunts)

	PAs	K%	wOBA	xwOBA	whiff %
4/27-5/18	91	19.8%	.366	.349	21.6%
5/19-7/2	118	28.8%	.392	.337	32.1%

 

	PAs	EV	hard hit %	barrel/PA
4/27-5/18	91	89.5	44.4%	4.4%
5/19-7/2	118	89.8	44.6%	4.2%

Like I said the other day, it would be nice to hear from some scouts, the org or whoever about all the walks, lack of power, lack of BA, etc…is he tweaking things? Is the elbow bothering him to where he can’t drive the ball? Is he getting nothing to hit?  
 

I’m surprised someone from the Banner hasn’t gotten into this because it’s obviously a big story and one that should be reported on.

 

[Hallas]

2 hours ago, Warehouse said:

One thing to note is that Jackson made swing tweaks his first three weeks back in Norfolk but then abandoned them because they “didn’t feel great”.

From this Baltimore Banner article: 

“Earlier, as he fiddled, Holliday felt he was “surviving” and “didn’t feel great” about where his swing was, even though he produced at the Triple-A level upon his return. That has since changed. Over the last two weeks, particularly, Holliday’s return to the mechanics he’s more familiar with has helped him get back on track.”

His contact rate really dropped off when he reverted back to his familiar mechanics. I worry that he gave up on the changes too soon.

First three weeks back vs. after (includes tracked pitches and non-bunts)

	PAs	K%	wOBA	xwOBA	whiff %
4/27-5/18	91	19.8%	.366	.349	21.6%
5/19-7/2	118	28.8%	.392	.337	32.1%

 

	PAs	EV	hard hit %	barrel/PA
4/27-5/18	91	89.5	44.4%	4.4%
5/19-7/2	118	89.8	44.6%	4.2%

 

It looks like he's trying to clean up the timing on the leg kick.  Kjerstad has a big leg kick and he didn't whiff 16 times in 30 PAs, so it's not like you can't survive with it.  He's definitely planting earlier now than he did when he was in the big club.

[Warehouse]

2 hours ago, Hallas said:

 

It looks like he's trying to clean up the timing on the leg kick.  Kjerstad has a big leg kick and he didn't whiff 16 times in 30 PAs, so it's not like you can't survive with it.  He's definitely planting earlier now than he did when he was in the big club.

To that point, one area where Jackson has made some progress is on high velocity.

AAA average whiff % for pitches with velo 95mph or higher= 25.6%.

Jackson Holliday AAA performance vs pitches 95mph or higher

	pitches	JH Whiff %
Sept 2023	43	38.1
Mar/Apr 2024	23	33.3
May 2024	52	25.0
June 2024	24	20.0

However, his overall whiff rate has consistently been ~27% over the first three months of 2024.  Additionally, about half his batted balls continue to be hit on the ground vs 42% AAA league average. 

[OriolesMagic83]

5 hours ago, Moose Milligan said:

Clearly not.

Never crosstrained in bowling and tennis, so no.

[Sports Guy]

2-4 with 2 doubles and 2 walks tonight.

[OriolesUpAndDowns]

3 hours ago, Sports Guy said:

2-4 with 2 doubles and 2 walks tonight.

One of the doubles was because of the Durham outfielder laziness and Holiday just took advantage.  Good heads up play.

 

The second walk was against their 3rd string catcher who had to pitch.  

[OnlyOneOriole]

15 minutes ago, OriolesUpAndDowns said:

One of the doubles was because of the Durham outfielder laziness and Holiday just took advantage.  Good heads up play.

 

The second walk was against their 3rd string catcher who had to pitch.  

He's dominating!

[Sports Guy]

Only an elite athlete can turn a single into a double 

[interloper]

5 hours ago, OriolesUpAndDowns said:

One of the doubles was because of the Durham outfielder laziness and Holiday just took advantage.  Good heads up play.

 

The second walk was against their 3rd string catcher who had to pitch.  

Context matters. Thanks!

[RZNJ]

If I was going just by statistics, and Holliday’s are already really good, I’d be happy when his strikeout rate fell below 20% and his average hit .300.

[bpilktree]

6 hours ago, OriolesUpAndDowns said:

One of the doubles was because of the Durham outfielder laziness and Holiday just took advantage.  Good heads up play.

 

The second walk was against their 3rd string catcher who had to pitch.  

Yeah if he comes to the majors he won’t see a third string catcher.  He might get to see the Yankees backup catcher though like we saw the other night after putting up 15 on them through 8 innings.  

[Can_of_corn]

1 minute ago, bpilktree said:

Yeah if he comes to the majors he won’t see a third string catcher.  He might get to see the Yankees backup catcher though like we saw the other night after putting up 15 on them through 8 innings.  

I'm sure he never would have been able to work a second walk of the game off an actual pitcher.

[Sports Guy]

2 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

I'm sure he never would have been able to work a second walk of the game off an actual pitcher.

Before it was he was walking too much.  Now it’s, well he was only able to draw it because it was off a position player. 
 

 

[OriolesMagic83]

I feel like Basallo should be put under the same scrutiny.  How many of his HR have been against washed up non prospects.  Questionable whether he can even defensively handle catcher.  It's not just throwing base stealers out.  Basallo struggles to keep his OPS above .900 in AA when Holliday obliterated AA at the same age with an OPS over 1.000.  Basallo is far from untouchable.

[OriolesMagic83]

Just now, OriolesMagic83 said:

I feel like Basallo should be put under the same scrutiny.  How many of his HR have been against washed up non prospects.  Questionable whether he can even defensively handle catcher.  It's not just throwing base stealers out.  Basallo struggles to keep his OPS above .900 in AA when Holliday obliterated AA at the same age with an OPS over 1.000.  Basallo is far from untouchable.

Should have said .800 since his OPS is .813.