Reds Series

[Moose Milligan]

33 minutes ago, Hallas said:

I bet you'd call us closet MFY fans for saying that Soto's having a monster year too.

No. 
I just like making fun of CoC from time to time. 

[HowAboutThat]

1 hour ago, Can_of_corn said:

I'm a baseball fan.

He's exciting to watch.

I am spending more and more time watching other teams just because I like certain players, and as soon as I start doing that, Julio Rodriguez has a big slump.

The Mariners, pitching, though, it’s really something else

[Roy Firestone]

3 hours ago, Moose Milligan said:

Three game set against the Reds starts tomorrow evening.  The matchups:

Irvin vs. Hunter Greene

Means vs. Andrew Abbott (LHP)

Kremer vs. Lodolo (LHP)

The Reds are 16-15 and are 4-6 over their last 10.  Obviously Elly De La Cruz is just absolutely everything right now and must-see TV but outside of him Spencer Steer is off to a respectable start (.814).  No one else has an OPS over .800

Hunter Greene is a monster. His last start he 1-hit the Rangers with 8 K's and just one walk. Our work is once again cut out for us...

[Moose Milligan]

1 hour ago, Roy Firestone said:

Hunter Greene is a monster. His last start he 1-hit the Rangers with 8 K's and just one walk. Our work is once again cut out for us...

He looks like he’s coming into his own and starting to live up to the hype.  He will be a test, for sure. 

[Just Regular]

Rates and Barrels podcast today had the observation with Grayson to IL it is 9 out of 10 of the top 2023 velocities currently on the IL.

Hunter Greene is the one active guy.

[Emory Eagle]

3 hours ago, Can_of_corn said:

I'm a baseball fan.

He's exciting to watch.

In particular if a cutter gets his knuckles.

[sportsfan8703]

13 hours ago, interloper said:

Hope to get our first look at Suarez out of the pen this series, assuming they don't try a 6 man rotation. Eager to see if he can be a late inning dude. 

Plenty of slumps I'd like to see busted soon: Mullins, Santander, Cowser, and even Gunnar to a lesser degree. 

Yup. Things to look for this series,

- Means Starting

- Suarez in the pen 

- Mateo to play 2 maybe 3 games. 

- How many homers will we hit in the small park. 

[Frobby]

Irvin vs. Hunter Greene (1-2, 3.63)

Means vs. Andrew Abbott (1-3, 3.27)

Kremer vs. Lodolo (3-0, 1.88)

We haven’t seen Greene before, but Abbott and Lodolo both flummoxed us when we saw them before.  Lodolo threw 6 innings against us in 2022, allowed 1 run on 4 hits.  Abbott allowed 1 run on 2 hits in 6 IP last year against us.  The Reds haven’t faced Means, but blasted Kremer for 6 runs on 10 hits in 4.1 IP back in 2022.  Irvin saw them in a long relief outing last year, allowing 1 run in 3 innings.  

The Reds’ offense has been a bit anomalous, 23rd in OPS+ (90) at .674 OPS, but 8th in Runs per Game at 4.84.   The reason for the divergence is that they have been great with RISP at .792 OPS, with only a .620 OPS with the bases empty.  So, they’ve hit when it counts.  Elly De La Cruz (171 OPS+), Spencer Steer (130), Jake Fraley (119) and Tyler Stephenson (113) have been dangerous, but the rest of their lineup has been underwhelming.  The O’s come into the series 2nd in OPS+ at 120 (.754), 3rd in R/G at 5.29).

The Reds bullpen is pretty average at a 4.02 ERA, 6 for 8 in save opportunities.  That save ratio is good, but 8 chances isn’t many for a team that’s won 16 games.  The O’s pen has a 3.63 ERA following a strong series against the Yankees, with 9 saves in 16 chances.

Overall, it looks like a tight series.  Tbe O’s bats cooled off a bit in the Yankee series and they’ll face three good starters this weekend.  Hopefully the bats can wake up in this hitter-friendly ballpark.  I’m looking for Mountcastle and Westburg to go deep in this series.

 

[interloper]

5 minutes ago, Frobby said:

The Reds bullpen is pretty average at a 4.02 ERA, 6 for 8 in save opportunities.  That save ratio is good, but 8 chances isn’t many for a team that’s won 16 games.  The O’s pen has a 3.63 ERA following a strong series against the Yankees, with 9 saves in 16 chances.

Sounds like a good opportunity for the O's to do their whole late inning comeback routine again. 

[interloper]

I could definitely see this series as being a challenge. Facing a fast, athletic team coming right after facing the slow, unathletic Yankees. 

[Jim'sKid26]

The Reds have come a long way from the Marge Schott days. 

I miss colorful owners....

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marge_Schott

[spleen1015]

I'm in the Cincinnati market. I'm gonna be a criminal this weekend I guess.

[Just Regular]

Greene and Lodolo kind of represent a road not taken as the kind of arms that Clubs can get at the top of the draft if they accept the risk.

TheBatX rest-of-season projections credit Elly, Gunnar and O'Hearn all among the top tier of MLB Bats who have improved their forecast factoring in strong early season results.    Roto players, Derek Carty's TheBatX is known as the flavor of his projection system leaning into deploying recent Statcast results.

https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/biggest-changes-in-projections/

 

[Orange]

We need to limit the free passes to keep them off the basepaths... and it's a good place to get our right-handed power going. (Or keep it going, actually. It should be a good series for Mounty and Westburg!)

[SteveA]

Some interesting gametimes.

Tonight's game is 6:10.   All the other Reds Friday night home games are 6:40.

Sunday's game is 4:10.   Most of the other Reds Sunday home games are 1:40 (there's also a 1:10 and a 12:10, but no other late afternoon games).