Jump to content

Where do Kjerstad/Westburg fit on the 2023/24 team


wildcard

Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, Roll Tide said:

1) They should have to be 2 years out of HS. I believe that is the way the NBA is doing it right?

2) what ... are you even reading my posts? I said that MLB should work with the NCAA to come up with a system that’s mutually beneficial.

A system that sends most high school players to college would benefit the NCAA. 
 

3

 

You do know that the college teams have 13 full scholarships to offer in basketball (a full roster).  College baseball teams have 11.7 full scholarships.

 

  • Upvote 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, wildcard said:

First off that's 2013 and secondly that wasn't what I meant by holding out.  Football players under contract hold out.  When is the last time you've seen a baseball player under contract refuse to come to camp?  It happens but it's a lot more rare.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Roll Tide said:

1) They should have to be 2 years out of HS. I believe that is the way the NBA is doing it right?

2) what ... are you even reading my posts? I said that MLB should work with the NCAA to come up with a system that’s mutually beneficial.

A system that sends most high school players to college would benefit the NCAA. 
 

3

 

NBA was one year, they’re about to go back to drafting straight out of HS because it’s a farce to force kids to go to college when they don’t wanna be there. Plus with the limited number of baseball scholarships, you’re just screwing over the kids that do wanna be there. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Roll Tide said:

As mentioned the process is broken when it forces a GM to take a player that’s not the BPA

I don’t think Elias was forced to do anything.    He chose the strategy he thought was best for the team.    If it doesn’t work out, he should be held accountable.    

  • Upvote 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, waroriole said:

NBA was one year, they’re about to go back to drafting straight out of HS because it’s a farce to force kids to go to college when they don’t wanna be there. Plus with the limited number of baseball scholarships, you’re just screwing over the kids that do wanna be there. 

Partial scholarships are going to hurt the economically disadvantaged that want to use baseball as a means of going to college.

I am sure that one year of education at Duke or Kentucky does those players a world of good. 

I think the only reason they are forcing the kids to go to college was that they didn't like the bust rate or kids out of HS.  Kwame Brown anyone?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Roll Tide said:

As mentioned the process is broken when it forces a GM to take a player that’s not the BPA

Oh for crying out loud. This is still about you knowing who the GM should take better than he does? Has any part of you thought to maybe back down, or just heels completely dig in?

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, Roll Tide said:

1) They should have to be 2 years out of HS. I believe that is the way the NBA is doing it right?

2) what ... are you even reading my posts? I said that MLB should work with the NCAA to come up with a system that’s mutually beneficial.

A system that sends most high school players to college would benefit the NCAA. 
 

3

 

The NBA does one year.     And that system sucks IMO.    I think baseball, with a history of signing kids out of high school that goes back to long before the draft was started, and which signs Latin American players at 16, would look ridiculous if they suddenly dictated that players can’t be signed until a year or two after high school.     And there’s definitely not enough college scholarships to cover all the kids who would have to wait.   

  • Upvote 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

Partial scholarships are going to hurt the economically disadvantaged that want to use baseball as a means of going to college.

I am sure that one year of education at Duke or Kentucky does those players a world of good. 

I think the only reason they are forcing the kids to go to college was that they didn't like the bust rate or kids out of HS.  Kwame Brown anyone?

Oh completely agree. With the G League now, some of the top kids are skipping college all together. NBA has no reason to do what’s in the best interest of the NCAA. The NCAA has to get with the times and find out a way to pay some of these kids or college hoops is gonna look a lot like college baseball. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Roll Tide said:

As mentioned the process is broken when it forces a GM to take a player that’s not the BPA

Elias was in no way forced. He seemingly understands, unlike you, that team building isn’t a linear process. Sometimes you take BPA (Rutchman) sometimes you take someone close to BPA and get better guys later.

The NBA especially and the NFL to a degree are star driven leagues. One guy can and frequently does completely change a game. For better or worse that is harder to accomplish in baseball. The system needs a lot of talent and that what Elias did. 
 

Also, comparing money in the MLB draft to NFL/NBA is disingenuous at best.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

41 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

So instead of taking the BPA available at #2, they trade down to #10.  When they trade down they get something in return right?  Like maybe a couple of second round picks?

The value of picks from one sport to another varies but that is essentially what the Orioles did here. 

Don't be too hard on RT here, apparently some folks paid to write about baseball have trouble with the concept...

https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/mlb-draft-2020-grades-mets-cardinals-rays-earn-a-for-solid-hauls-yankees-red-sox-among-worst-marks/

Quote

Confusing draft for the Orioles. They used the No. 2 pick on slugger Heston Kjerstad, our No. 17 prospect, and it appeared they would sign him below-slot and use the savings on a top high school talent that fell to one of their later picks. The O's instead took safe-ish college hitters in Competitive Balance Round A (Jordan Westburg) and the second round (Hudson Haskin). It wasn't until the fourth and fifth round, when they popped high schoolers Coby Mayo and Carter Baumler, that the other show dropped. Good players, all of them, but the Orioles held the No. 2 pick and didn't land a truly elite prospect. Feels like they could've had a very similar draft with the No. 15 pick

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Roll Tide said:

No ... but they trade out in order to recover the lost value. 
 

In the NFL, the Ravens are the perfect example. 
They want the 10th best player and have the #2 pick. They simply slide back to 6-8 slots and get extra value. The #2 overall is worth substantially more than the #10

You are comparing baseball to a sport where pretty much all picks in the first 3 rounds make the NFL roster.

Don't you understand what a ridiculous comparison that is?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Can_of_corn said:

So instead of taking the BPA available at #2, they trade down to #10.  When they trade down they get something in return right?  Like maybe a couple of second round picks?

The value of picks from one sport to another varies but that is essentially what the Orioles did here. 

No ... The orioles selected at their previously assigned slots. The Ravens get additional selections. Big difference.....

The Ravens would end up with an additional player or two. Or have dealt for future capital.
 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Roll Tide said:

No ... The orioles selected at their previously assigned slots. The Ravens get additional selections. Big difference.....

The Ravens would end up with an additional player or two. Or have dealt for future capital.
 

 

So the O's traded the #2, #103 and #133 for #8, #48 and #50. 

Same thing.

You can't expect to get similar value for MLB picks that you get for NFL picks.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, BohKnowsBmore said:

Don't be too hard on RT here, apparently some folks paid to write about baseball have trouble with the concept...

https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/mlb-draft-2020-grades-mets-cardinals-rays-earn-a-for-solid-hauls-yankees-red-sox-among-worst-marks/

 

I don’t agree with the strategy. Suggestions by posters here that Martin and Kjerstad are similarly rated is boulder dash. 
 

The Orioles went below slot in order to find the additional 2 million they overpaid for their 4th and 5th rounded. 
 

The percentages say that about two thirds of the 1st round guys will be meh at best. So it will be easy to judge if their 1st rounder was the correct one very soon. 

I like the odds that Martin will be a better MLB player than Kjerstad. 
 

Bur then we will have to wait another 3-5 season to fully grade the approach.

As I said in an older thread. I don’t buy into the Elias hype. He’s done what he’s was good at IMO. That was fixing the minor league system, bringing the scouting and development staff out of the Stone Age, and fixing the international process. 
 

I didn’t like the return for Cashner. I thought he gave away Villar. I haven’t been impressed with the 2 drafts and a monkey could’ve drafted Adley Rutschman with the 1st pick.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Posts

    • We’re trotting out A lineup out there and Mounty is hitting 7th and Cowser is on the bench. Both have really ugly numbers since May 1 basically.  We’re discussing game 3 SP, why not discuss do we want Mountcastle starting in the playoffs if it’s not against a LHP?  I’d say no.  As analytic and swing decision our FO is, I bet they want to get rid of Mounty. He was a necessary dude to get us here, but not anymore. Not with Mayo behind him. Mounty might benefit numbers wise, not approach, to get away from the Wall.  Would a contender want him?  If so, which one?  I don’t see why a rebuilding team would want him.  Could we buy and sell at the deadline?  
    • Is there a price you wouldn’t pay for Skubal if he were available? I’m assuming you’d have no qualms about a Mayo, Basallo, McDermott, DeLeon package?
    • I think almost every Orioles fan is interested in Crochet but most do not think he is worth Holliday, Mayo or Basallo. 2.5 years of control for a guy who has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this year is very valuable, but the huge injury question mark and the workload concern about whether he can even start in the playoffs this year (let alone down the stretch in the regular season) erodes that value immensely. Fedde is interesting and has pitched very well to date this season but it’s hard to have much confidence that his performance won’t back up to more in line with his entire career of work prior to this season. Adding the sweeper has clearly taken him to another level, but overall his stuff is still below average and he relies on controlling contact quality, which is often not very stable and it’s still a small sample of him pitching at this level in the MLB. There initially were not many other clearly available SP at the deadline, except for Flaherty, who the Orioles probably won’t want to go round 2 with since it didn’t work out last year. So you’re almost correct that there’s limited options beyond the White Sox SPs. However, it’s now looking like the Rangers, Blue Jays and Rays will be sellers with a number of rental or 1.5 year SPs, which will considerably buffer the supply at the deadline. Even if the Blue Jays and Rays don’t want to trade in-division (and the Rays do often trade in-division, and did with the Orioles in 2022), it’s now looking like there will be a lot more SP available from sellers to meet the demand at the deadline. Crochet is a unique situation since he’s probably the only real ace available at the deadline, but the Orioles would need to build their package around Kjerstad. And they could easily say they’d rather pay a cheaper price from the middle of their farm system to get a rental or 1.5 year guy (like Scherzer, Eovaldi, Heaney, Kikuchi, Bassit, Gausman, Eflin or Littell) to start game 3/4 this year to be able to hang onto Kjerstad. A big factor that’s also a complete unknown to fans is how much the new ownership group is willing to spend. If it’s going to be more of the same, then Crochet’s 2.5 cheap years are much more appealing. But if they are planning to spend this offseason to bring in one or more free agent SPs, then going for a cheaper rental at the deadline and holding onto some prospects could be a better route. 
    • I guess you have to give him the start if you think he has a future here. He certainly gives a different look than most starters. I am concerned about how he looks in the first couple of innings. He seems to throw an extraordinary number of pitches early in the game. His first batter yesterday was beyond horrific. The 3-0 pitch sailed to the backstop. 4 pitches all fastballs and not one close. If I was the opposition I wouldn't swing until he proves he can throw a strike. I don't know whether Cade is just keyed up and has to settle down. I don't know whether they have to adjust his pre-game warmup process. But, something has to be done. He is not going to overwhelm batters he better learn to pitch. I am tired of hearing Jim Palmer talking about adjusting to the mound, an umpire and hitters in the box. If your down 3-0 having only thrown 1 strike, it's time for some adjustments.
    • If Crochet had a longer track record and zero concerns regarding an innings limit this year, we’d be looking for a Juan Soto type package.  That being said, you aren’t getting a guy with elite stuff who currently leads all pitchers in fWAR and comes with two more years of low cost control on the cheap either.  And your proposal is very much lacking after Basallo if you think it’s going to get you two star players.  To me, a solid middle ground for Crochet only would be one of Basallo or Mayo, Beavers, and then one of your better arms like McDermott.  Yes, there would be some risk, but the upside for you guys would be incredible.
    • No it doesn’t have to be Crochet. And yes I would prefer Skubal. But I think it would be wise for us to try to acquire a top tier pitcher. IMO it protects against the possible loss of Burnes in the offseason and it makes us as strong as possible to pursue a World Series this season.
    • Or, he’s just a guy who had a good day.   
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...