2022 Orioles Prospects Power Rankings (Top 40)

[RZNJ]

5 minutes ago, MurphDogg said:

Joey Ortiz has probably got to move up in the rankings pretty soon. Lousy first three months in Bowie but batting .400+/.430+/.675+ in July.

Hopefully he is solid over the final 8 weeks of the season and ends up back in the teens in the rankings by the end of the season.

I would go a little further than that.   I think if he finishes above .280 and gets the OPS over .800 that he's top 10.   To go from where he was .200 AVG, low .600 OPS, to over .280/.800 would mean a really strong 2nd half.    He's also the best defensive SS in system according to EVERYONE.   He's already over .250 and .700 and climbing.   

[MurphDogg]

8 minutes ago, RZNJ said:

I would go a little further than that.   I think if he finishes above .280 and gets the OPS over .800 that he's top 10.   To go from where he was .200 AVG, low .600 OPS, to over .280/.800 would mean a really strong 2nd half.    He's also the best defensive SS in system according to EVERYONE.   He's already over .250 and .700 and climbing.   

If nobody else graduates, I think the top 9 is pretty set with the current 8, plus Holliday.

The Orioles system seems like it has pretty well defined tiers to me. Gunnar and Grayson in the top tier, followed by Hall, Cowser, and Holliday (conditionally), in the second tier, followed by Westburg, Mayo, Stowers and Kjerstad in the third tier and everyone else in the fourth tier. Within the tiers, I wouldn't argue with ranking them in any order, but that is how it looks to me.

I guess I could see Ortiz as high as 10 and hopefully making a jump to the next tier in 2023 like Westburg did this year.

[Tony-OH]

27 minutes ago, MurphDogg said:

Joey Ortiz has probably got to move up in the rankings pretty soon. Lousy first three months in Bowie but batting .400+/.430+/.675+ in July.

Hopefully he is solid over the final 8 weeks of the season and ends up back in the teens in the rankings by the end of the season.

Yeah, he's going to keep moving back to his preseason spot. Perhaps his slow start was because he wasn't able to have a full offseason of working out and came into the season weak. Seems like he's straightened that out. Hopefully he can keep it up and it's not some Haskin beginning of the season mirage hot streak.

[LookinUp]

Seems his status is still up in the air to me. Have another 5 weeks of plus hitting and I discount the first half some. Don’t, and the first half seems more real. 

[Frobby]

10 hours ago, RZNJ said:

I would go a little further than that.   I think if he finishes above .280 and gets the OPS over .800 that he's top 10.   To go from where he was .200 AVG, low .600 OPS, to over .280/.800 would mean a really strong 2nd half.    He's also the best defensive SS in system according to EVERYONE.   He's already over .250 and .700 and climbing.   

The higher an OPS goes, the harder it is to move the needle.  His OPS is .716 two-thirds of the way through the season, so he’ll need to posi an OPS of about .968 the rest of the season to get over .800 for the year.   Pretty tall order.  

[RZNJ]

2 hours ago, Frobby said:

The higher an OPS goes, the harder it is to move the needle.  His OPS is .716 two-thirds of the way through the season, so he’ll need to posi an OPS of about .968 the rest of the season to get over .800 for the year.   Pretty tall order.  

That would be very impressive.  He was at 1.117 for July heading into yesterday's game. 

[RZNJ]

1 minute ago, RZNJ said:

That would be very impressive.  He was at 1.117 for July heading into yesterday's game. 

If he can OPS over .900 for August, I'd say we've got the real deal.  .968 or better?   We'd have rethink Ortiz along the lines of Westburg as a prospect. 

[Frobby]

9 hours ago, RZNJ said:

If he can OPS over .900 for August, I'd say we've got the real deal.  .968 or better?   We'd have rethink Ortiz along the lines of Westburg as a prospect. 

I’d be thrilled with .900 for August.  Honestly, if he was an .800+ guy the rest of the season I’d be pretty happy about it.  

[Tony-OH]

On 4/6/2022 at 2:36 PM, Tony-OH said:

Notes: Think of these rankings like an unofficial prospect rankings that will be adjusted throughout the year. To be eligible for the rankings, a player must still be considered a rookie by MLB standards and assigned to a minor league team. Players placed on injured lists are eligible once they have played in 2022. Rankings will be updated every Monday. Rankings will be expanded to 50 when FCL and DSL seasons open up.

Orioles Prospect Power Rankings (as of Aug 1st)  

RK	Name	POS	PR	U/D	Team	INJ
1	Gunnar Henderson	SS/3B	1		Nor (AAA)
2	Grayson Rodriguez	RHP	2		Nor (AAA)	IL
3	D.L. Hall	LHP	3		Nor (AAA)
4	Colton Cowser	OF	4		BOW (AA)
5	Coby Mayo	3B	6	Up	FCL	Rehab
6	Kyle Stowers	RF	7	Up	Nor (AAA)
7	Jordan Westburg	SS/3B	5	Down	Nor (AAA)
8	Heston Kjerstad	OF	8		ABN (A+)
9	Connor Norby	2B	10	Up	BOW (AA)
10	Darnell Hernaiz	INF	11	Up	ABN (A+)
11	Terrin Vavra	2B/CF	12	Up	Nor (AAA)
12	Carter Baumler	RHP	13	Up	DEL (A)	IL
13	Samuel Basallo	C	14	Up	FCL
14	Joey Ortiz	SS	30	Up	Bow (AA)
15	Cesar Prieto	2B	9	Down	BOW (AA)
16	John Rhodes	OF	16		ABN (A+)
17	Drew Rom	LHP	18	Up	Bow (AA)
18	Noah Denoyer	RHP	15	Down	Bow (AA)	IL
19	Frederick Bencosme	INF	19		Del (A)
20	Aron Estrada	INF	20		DSL
21	Hudson Haskin	OF	24	Up	Bow (AA)
22	Carlos Tavera	RHP	17	Down	ABN (A+)
23	Jean Pinto	RHP	21	Down	ABN (A+)
24	Ignacio Feliz	RHP	22	Down	ABN (A+)
25	Braylin Tavera	OF	23	Down	DSL
26	Mike Baumann	RHP	27	Up	Nor (AAA)
27	Ryan Watson	RHP	UR	Up	Bow (AA)
28	Nick Vespi	LHP	28		Nor (AAA)
29	Justin Armbruester	RHP	25	Down	BOW (AA)
30	Juan De Los Santos	RHP	26	Down	DEL (A)
	Bubble Players
	Leandro Arias	INF			DSL
	Collin Burns	SS			ABN (A+)
	Maverick Handley	C			Bow (AA)
	Luis De Leon	LHP			DSL
	Maikol Hernandez	SS			FCL
	Chris Vallimont	RHP			Nor (AAA)
	Anderson De Los Santos	INF			FCL
	Adam Hall	UTL			FCL	Rehab
	Shayne Fontana	OF			Bow (AA)

Big jump for Ortiz who looks finally healthy. He and Cowser look like the best guys on the field at Bowie. 

[RVAOsFan]

5 minutes ago, Tony-OH said:

Big jump for Ortiz who looks finally healthy. He and Cowser look like the best guys on the field at Bowie. 

Thanks, Tony! What are your thoughts on Norby at Bowie?

[Tony-OH]

1 hour ago, RVAOsFan said:

Thanks, Tony! What are your thoughts on Norby at Bowie?

He's been doing ok overall, but obviously the average and OBP have been a disappointment, but he's getting to his power a bit. Defensively he's been better, but I have to watch him more on that end. 

His HR% (5.5%) over the last 30 days is second in the org behind Colton Cowser (6.5%). He's really never had a significant hot streak but he smack three homers over the last 7 days. 

 

 

[Flash- bd]

1 Gunnar

2 Grayson

3 Holliday

4 DL Hall

5 Cowser

6 Kjerstad

7 Mayo

8 Westburg

9 Stowers

10 Vavra

11 Basallo

12 Wagner

13 Norby

14 Hernaiz

15 Bencosme

16 Beavers

17 Ortiz

18 Rhodes

19 Baumler

20 Denoyer

 

 

Just for fun wanted to do my completely non-expert, completely not to be taken seriously top 20 with the draft picks included. What I take from doing it is I rate Vavra more than anyone (sucker for a OBP-driven high OPS, and not convinced he won't be okay at 2B which in the end is a premium position), and most of all that the depth is really something else at this point. I feel you can make a pretty strong case for any of 10-20, maybe minus Denoyer, for sneaking into the top 10 after Stowers. 

[LookinUp]

It’s a loaded system. Best part isn’t that #15 will be good (we can’t know that), it’s that a whole bunch of guys have a chance to be good. 

[jamesenoch]

I like the idea that Elias just added 15 pitchers to our minor league system (thru the draft and trades) within the last 3 weeks.

[btdart20]

@Flash- bd Nice!  I'm an OBP fan too.  Job #1 batting is to not get out.  Yeah, there are other things at play, but it boils down to that as they get to higher levels.

Hall has slipped a bit in my book.  The ceiling is still there, but the concern about him being a bullpen arm is growing.  Which means, for me, Cowser's ahead of Hall.  I would also slot Holliday between Cowser and Hall at this point too.

And I'd flip Vavra and Westburg because the OBP was so good in AAA.  The difference in SLG is less dramatic giving Vavra the higher OPS.  

I think the harder line is after #10.  But agree that 11-19 bunch is pretty strong.  Wagner/Beavers/Fabian are TBD for me (probably start them behind Rhodes though until we see more).  Regardless, they really extend the pipeline past 20!  @Tony-OHmay need to legitimately extend the power rankings to 50! 

Baumler slotting in at #19 is pretty strong.  He'll have some competition with Johnson a year from now (hopefully Johnson gets some IP by year-end 2023).