Jump to content

2022 Top 75 Prospects


Tony-OH

Recommended Posts

24 minutes ago, LookinUp said:

Bold prediction: your list has to change mid-stream because of 1-2 major trades.

That is bold. I do think we will see some trades happen that involved moving prospects, but I would be surprised if they happen before December. Never know though.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 hours ago, Tony-OH said:

That is bold. I do think we will see some trades happen that involved moving prospects, but I would be surprised if they happen before December. Never know though.

Who knows? It could be an exciting November* for the first time in a long time as an O's fan.

*actually, I love your lists so it's always exciting for me. But for mainstream O's fans, it's a snooze fest.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Tony-OH changed the title to 2022 Top 30 Prospects
  • Tony-OH pinned this topic
4 hours ago, wildcard said:

Tony, Justin Armbruester didn't make the top 30.  On the Verge seems to think he  should start the season at AAA.   What is your take?  Is he a future major leaguer?

Tony did indicate that Armbruester was one of the last cuts off the list.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, wildcard said:

Tony, Justin Armbruester didn't make the top 30.  On the Verge seems to think he  should start the season at AAA.   What is your take?  Is he a future major leaguer?

Armbruester is ok, but he doesn't have much to defend himself against left-handers and I don't see a major league swing and miss pitch. 

There's a good bet he starts 2023 in Norfolk, but at best he's got middle reliever vibes for me. I see Mike Wright. 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Tony-OH said:

Armbruester is ok, but he doesn't have much to defend himself against left-handers and I don't see a major league swing and miss pitch. 

There's a good bet he starts 2023 in Norfolk, but at best he's got middle reliever vibes for me. I see Mike Wright. 

 

Thanks,   he said in his interview that he is working on a change up vs lefties.   It's anyones guess whether that will be effective..

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, wildcard said:

Thanks,   he said in his interview that he is working on a change up vs lefties.   It's anyones guess whether that will be effective..

Just listened to the interview.  He sounds like a very intelligent kid who has totally bought into the metrics.   And yes, he recognizes the very weakness Tony identified as his big area to work on.  He’s beaten the odds already to get to AA this quickly as a 2021 12th round pick, so I’ll be rooting for him. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

33 minutes ago, wildcard said:

Thanks,   he said in his interview that he is working on a change up vs lefties.   It's anyones guess whether that will be effective..

 

26 minutes ago, Frobby said:

Just listened to the interview.  He sounds like a very intelligent kid who has totally bought into the metrics.   And yes, he recognizes the very weakness Tony identified as his big area to work on.  He’s beaten the odds already to get to AA this quickly as a 2021 12th round pick, so I’ll be rooting for him. 

It's always good to hear the kid knows what he needs to work on to get there. He does have some tools to work from and he's got some deception that allows his mediocre stuff to play up a bit. The slider can be a swing and miss pitch for him at times, but it's not consistent enough at this point to be effective at the major league level for very long.

He tapped into more velocity this year (up to 95-96 at times) so he's certainly a guy I'd say is interesting enough to follow, but needs improvements to be a legitimate prospects.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



  • Posts

    • I don’t like the wall. I think it’s affecting our hitters. I’ve mentioned before that I think it has totally warped Mountcastle into something he was never really meant to be. The guy came up as a pull-heavy HR hitter, and in his first season-plus (725 PAs), he puts up 38 HRs and a 116 wRC+. Since then, the wRC+ is down to 110, and his approach has totally changed, with his pull numbers plummeting (down from 39% in 2021 to less than 28% this year). He still hits the ball hard, but constantly underachieves his batted ball data — probably because he’s trying to avoid the pull field and hitting balls to the deepest parts of pretty much every other park. Will the same thing happen to Mayo? Maybe he has more pure power, but it’s always going to be a challenge for a RH slugger to survive with that wall. So much harder to do damage.   Beyond that, I think it’s also creating a serious risk of changing our LH hitters’ approaches too. These guys (Henderson, Holliday, Cowser, 2/3 of Adley) have come up with a reputation for being able to drive the ball to all fields. But how long does that continue when they just can’t hit it out to the opposite field? Our LH hitters had a combined 44 wRC+ at OPACY, and only one HR. They had the 3rd most balls hit to LF at home by LHHs, but the lowest wRC+ of any team on those balls. The Royals, ironically enough, were the only team that was lower than a 70 wRC+ — that’s how much worse our lefties fared going oppo (at OPACY) than everyone else’s. By player: Gunnar Henderson: 112 wRC+ (51 PAs) Adley Rutschman: 10 wRC+ / .026 ISO (38 PAs) Anthony Santander: 14 wRC+ / .095 ISO (43 PAs) Colton Cowser: 58 wRC+ / .057 ISO (36 PAs) Ryan O’Hearn: 47 wRC+ / .091 ISO (55 PAs) Cedric Mullins: 23 wRC+ / .100 ISO (41 PAs) Jackson Holliday: -72 wRC+ / .000 ISO (16 PAs)   On the road, they had a combined 126 wRC+ (with 9 HRs) going to left field, so it’s not like they’re bad at it. It’s just Death Valley out there in LF for them at OPACY.  How long will it be until these LH guys just start going full pull-happy? Essentially, the opposite of what’s happened with Mountcastle. When (a) your team’s philosophy is to focus on doing damage and (b) you can’t DO damage to the opposite field — the rational endpoint is just to try to pull everything. I don’t think that’s a good outcome. I think it makes them much worse hitters in the other 81 games, and I think it’s a terrible waste of a bunch of really talented hitters with all-field abilities.
    • Which core players beside Adley Rutschman struggled?
    • The entire commentary on Hyde and the team seems odd but have to admit there does seem to be something off.   Team seemed adrift for most of the 2nd half.  A very talented team went off the rails midway through the season mostly due to core players struggling and rookies not performing or filling in adequately for a few injured starters.    None of the position player trade line acquisitions performed that well.     Hyde seemed in over his head or at a loss on how to correct things, but he must have convinced Elias that he has a plan to fix things.  Curious to see what happens with the coaching staff.  
    • And or give up picks for QO pitchers 
    • They've averaged 92 wins a year the last 3 years in the most difficult environment in the sport with basically the greatest disadvantages in the sport. Something tells me they know a hell of a lot more about this than you do.    
    • Not when they aren't worthy. At minimum the hitting coaches should be el gonezo
    • That is the sign of a stable and successful organization.  Firing people.  Who could argue that?
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...