How many HRs will 2023 Orioles hit?

[emmett16]

With the Power bats of O'Hearn, McCann and Frazier added in the last couple weeks (sarcasm , it got me thinking of how many HRs we might expect next year.  Last year the Orioles hit 171 home runs tied with the Met's for dead middle of the pack.  For context Yankees lead with 254 and Tigers finished at bottom with 110.  Do you think we will hit more than 171 HRs in 2023?  What's your best guess at how many we will hit? Here are your 2022 Orioles contributors:

Santander 33

Mountcastle 22

Urias 16

Hays 16

Mullins 16

Rutschman 13

Odor 13

Mateo 13

Mancini 10

Chirinos 4

Henderson 4

Stowers 3

Nevin 2

McKenna 2

Vavra/Benboom/Aguilar/Arau/ 1 each

Edited January 4, 2023 by emmett16

[Frobby]

I voted 171 on the nose.   I was going to flip a coin to decide, but it landed on its side.   

[Sports Guy]

8 hours ago, emmett16 said:

With the Power bats of O'Hearn, McCann and Frazier added in the last couple weeks, it got me thinking of how many HRs we might expect next year.  Last year the Orioles hit 171 home runs tied with the Met's for dead middle of the pack.  For context Yankees lead with 254 and Tigers finished at bottom with 110.  Do you think we will hit more than 171 HRs in 2023?  What's your best guess at how many we will hit? Here are your 2022 Orioles contributors:

Santander 33

Mountcastle 22

Urias 16

Hays 16

Mullins 16

Rutschman 13

Odor 13

Mateo 13

Mancini 10

Chirinos 4

Henderson 4

Stowers 3

Nevin 2

McKenna 2

Vavra/Benboom/Aguilar/Arau/ 1 each

Is your first sentence sarcasm? I can’t tell. I want to believe it is.

[emmett16]

I’m going to go through my OD 26 and make my best guess as to # of HRs hit from that roster spot and come up with an educated guess.  My gut says we can expect some more from improvement, but at first glance we will lose quite a bit from a few guess not on the roster and there is also bound to be some regression.  

Edited January 4, 2023 by emmett16

[emmett16]

Just now, Sports Guy said:

Is your first sentence sarcasm? I can’t tell. I want to believe it is.

Yes - was hesitant on putting that in there.  Pure sarcasm.  

[waroriole]

Hard to say without knowing the makeup of the ball this year. Assuming they leave it the same as last year, I think we’ll get slightly more HR. 

[Can_of_corn]

Just now, waroriole said:

Hard to say without knowing the makeup of the ball this year. Assuming they leave it the same as last year, I think we’ll get slightly more HR. 

Same as last year?  They used three different styles last year.  Juiced, dead and Judge.

[waroriole]

Just now, Can_of_corn said:

Same as last year?  They used three different styles last year.  Juiced, dead and Judge.

Who had juiced balls? From what I saw it was a dead ball all year, except Judge. 

[Can_of_corn]

3 minutes ago, waroriole said:

Who had juiced balls? From what I saw it was a dead ball all year, except Judge. 

Some of the old balls were still in circulation.

[waroriole]

9 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

Some of the old balls were still in circulation.

Must have skipped the Orioles

[Can_of_corn]

2 minutes ago, waroriole said:

Must have skipped the Orioles

The annoying thing is the standards MLB uses allow for all three ball types.  They are ridiculously loose for a professional league.

[emmett16]

1B Mountcastle (29)

UTL Westburg (9)

2B Frazier (5)

UTL Urias (15)

SS Mateo (15)

3B Henderson (19)

C  Rutschman (20)

C McCann (5)

LF  Hays (22)

CF Mullins (19)

RF Santander (29)

4th OF McKenna (5)

DH Stowers (10)

 

Total = 202 is my guess 

 

[emmett16]

Figured the site could use a thread with some brevity before all our heads explode