Orioles over/under win total

[eddie83]

I do not have a link but I was looking around on my phone on SportsBooks. Only see Caesar’s up so far. 
 

Orioles are at 77.5 

CHC 78

MIL 84.5

SDP 93.5

ATL 94.5

MINN 77.5

WAS 61.5

CINC 64.5

COL 68.5

TB 87.5

CWS 84.5

DET 70.5

MIA 72.5

STL 89.5

HOU 97.5

LAD 96.5

CLE 87

LAA 79.5

TEX 80.5

OAK 60.5

NYM 96.5

TOR 94.5

SEA 89.5

SFG 78.5

PITT 62.5

BOS 76.5

NYY 95

PHI 88.5

ARZ 76.5

KC 69.5

 

[eddie83]

I will try to update this when the others come in. 

[forphase1]

I'm not a betting man,  but I'm tempted to take the over on 77.5 wins.

[forphase1]

To elaborate, I think with another year of experience from Adley, Gunnar and other kids, the small improvements this off-season, no anchors around our necks like Odor and Chirinos and the more balanced schedule, I see us winning at least 80 games.  While I expect us to win a handful more than last year,  guessing in the 86ish win range based on the current team roster, even if we are a couple of games worse, that's still 80 wins.   I think over 77.5 is a fairly smart bet. 

[eddie83]

1 minute ago, forphase1 said:

I'm not a betting man,  but I'm tempted to take the over on 77.5 wins.

It’s funny. Like everyone else I wish we had did more but I still think we have a winning year. I’m more worried we are a 83/84 win team instead of high 80’s. I like the over. 
 

Twins are same. LAA one more win. BOS one fewer. TEX 3 more. I was curious where they had SEA and TB. Feel like we need to be better than one of those at least. 

[24fps]

I'll take the over, but not by much.  The lack of progress on improving starting pitching leads me to think 81-83 wins is a reasonable expectation for optimists like myself.  And yes, that includes full years of Gunnar, Adley, more balanced schedule, etc., etc., blah, blah, etc...

[Sports Guy]

I think I said recently I thought it would be 76.5, so this feels right to me.

This feels like a 75-80 win team right now, so I am not sure where I would go.

Need to see how the offseason ends.

[sevastras]

I am an Orioles fan, so I follow them the closest of any team and am a little more optimistic than pessimistic by nature. I would take the over with no thought or hesitation. Not because I drink the orange koolaid but because I am convinced they will be. I also follow the NL West, and I am leaning under on SD. Not because they aren’t stacked but they don’t have any real glue. 

[OsFanSinceThe80s]

It does seem tempting at 77.5 to bet the over, but the good luck the O’s had last season could flip this year. Even though I expect the O’s to have a more talented roster, but with a 162 game schedule throw in a few bad luck losses and some injuries results in less wins. 

Or some of the pitchers that surprised last season surprise for the wrong reasons this year.   I think they match or exceed last year’s win total, but a 76 win team is not out of the question.

The Orioles long term future looks good even if this season goes sideways.

[Explosivo]

I'd bite on the over easily. Vegas relies on past performance. With our team being so young and guys soon to be on the roster like Grayson, I'm not sure they know how to gauge their performance. I'll be putting 100 on the O's over easy. Besides, it's more fun that way. We play the AL East less for crying out loud.  

[Jagwar]

If the O's still had to play the Yankees, Red Sox, Blue Jays and Rays 19 times each, I would definitely target the under. Seems to me the balanced schedule changes that calculus for me. 

What's a better bet... take the under on the O's at 77.5 or the over on the Dodgers at 96.5?

[Frobby]

If I had a gun to my head and had to choose, I’d bet the over.   But if I were in Vegas with $100 to spend, I’d find something else to bet on that I felt more certain about.   

[oriole]

The optimist in me thinks they can match last years 83 wins, the realist thinks that it’ll be closer to 80 wins. That means this prediction looks pessimistic to me. This is not a team that will win enough even for a wild card but they’ll make it interesting enough. Good business plan I guess. Develop a cheap kinda good team that keep fans engaged but don’t actually put any real effort (money) to actually win outside of luck and good fortune. Make lots of money without spending much. Good for them

 

I have to say though, I would be very surprised if they won more than they did last year but not as surprised as I’d be if they won less than 77. 

[Moose Milligan]

I will take the over.  It's been a garbage offseason but I believe we're better simply by subtraction (Odor, Chirinos) and we'll have full seasons of Adley and Gunnar, plus G-Rod should be able to be as good, if not better than any SP we had last year.  

[HakunaSakata]

If they don't make another move to improve the starting rotation the realist in me would want to take the under on that win projection. It's not a no-brainer though, which means the projection is probably on point.