Jump to content

O's free agents: Dave Cameron v. fangraphs' crowdsource

Frobby

By Frobby
in Orioles Talk

Recommended Posts

Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

Posted
Posted

Dave Cameron has a piece up predicting where free agents will land, and how much they'll get. He also gives what the fangraphs' crowdsourcing project said about what the free agents will get. Here's what he has on the Orioles' top free agents:

Chris Davis to the Astros for 5/$130 mm (crowd: 5/$100 mm)

Wei-Yin Chen to the Tigers for 4/$64 mm (crowd: 4/$52 mm)

Matt Wieters to the Braves for 4/$64 mm (crowd: 4/$48 mm)

Darren O'Day to the Mets for 4/$32 mm (crowd: 3/$21 mm)

Gerardo Parra to the Reds for 2/$18 mm (crowd: 3/$24 mm)

Steve Pearce to the Dodgers for 1/$8 mm (crowd: 2/$12 mm)

He also has J.A. Happ as our big free agent acquisition of the winter, at 3/$24 mm (crowd: 3/$33 mm). :puke:

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2016-top-50-free-agent-predictions/

Link to comment
Share on other sites
SpinJr Major Leaguer Cup of Coffee

SpinJr

Posted
Posted
Dave Cameron has a piece up predicting where free agents will land, and how much they'll get. He also gives what the fangraphs' crowdsourcing project said about what the free agents will get. Here's what he has on the Orioles' top free agents:

Chris Davis to the Astros for 5/$130 mm (crowd: 5/$100 mm)

Wei-Yin Chen to the Tigers for 4/$64 mm (crowd: 4/$52 mm)

Matt Wieters to the Braves for 4/$64 mm (crowd: 4/$48 mm)

Darren O'Day to the Mets for 4/$32 mm (crowd: 3/$21 mm)

Gerardo Parra to the Reds for 2/$18 mm (crowd: 3/$24 mm)

Steve Pearce to the Dodgers for 1/$8 mm (crowd: 2/$12 mm)

He also has J.A. Happ as our big free agent acquisition of the winter, at 3/$24 mm (crowd: 3/$33 mm). :puke:

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2016-top-50-free-agent-predictions/

How they must conclude we will utterly suck then.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
incubus Major Leaguer Cup of Coffee

incubus

Posted
Posted
This is silly. Why would anyone pay Parra 2/18M or Pearce 8 M? If the Astros can pay Davis 5/130 M so can we. He'll have to get more than that not to remain an O, IMO.

Agreed on all counts. I'd easily go 6/$140 for Davis. If we offered Pearce 1/$6 I think he would stay. Parra, I don't want.

In order for us to pay Davis what I feel comfortable with, the O's are going to have to accept the fact that unless they rebuild through the draft for the next few years, they will have to have a minimum annual budget of $130M starting in 2016.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
El Gordo Hangout Grand Counsel

El Gordo

Posted
Posted
Agreed on all counts. I'd easily go 6/$140 for Davis. If we offered Pearce 1/$6 I think he would stay. Parra, I don't want.

In order for us to pay Davis what I feel comfortable with, the O's are going to have to accept the fact that unless they rebuild through the draft for the next few years, they will have to have a minimum annual budget of $130M starting in 2016.

You might have to give Pearce two years.
Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • 3 weeks later...
Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

Posted
  • Author
Posted

He also has J.A. Happ as our big free agent acquisition of the winter, at 3/$24 mm (crowd: 3/$33 mm). :puke:

Happ just got 3/$36 mm from the Blue Jays. Looks like the market prices will be robust, or the Blue Jays just misjudged the market badly.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
weams Hangout Grand Counsel

weams

Posted
Posted
Happ just got 3/$36 mm from the Blue Jays. Looks like the market prices will be robust, or the Blue Jays just misjudged the market badly.

Or maybe both. Happ is lovely. But it is a real reach to think he will perform at that level for three years.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Go to topic listing
×
×
  • Create New...