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vs. METS, 8/19


OFFNY

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I repped him for it. He's always doing that type of heavy lifting.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Urrutia is getting the ball back from his first homer. <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/orioles?src=hash">#orioles</a></p>? Brittany Ghiroli (@Britt_Ghiroli) <a href="

">August 20, 2015</a></blockquote>

<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Wow, he's getting a lot tonight! I just finished before I read all this. :P

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I just ran the numbers for 2015 for the Orioles (if someone wants to run it for other teams, feel free). Thus far, the Orioles have scored in 279 innings in which the opposing team had an at-bat in the next subsequent half inning. Of those, the Orioles have allowed the opposing team to score in the next subsequent half inning 78 times, or 27.96%. In 51 games, the Orioles scored in such an inning at least once and never allowed the opposing team to score in the next subsequent half inning. (In another 9 games, the Orioles never scored in a half-inning in which the opposing team had a subsequent at-bat.)

Given that the odds of a MLB team scoring in any given inning is about 27.5% (based on dated data: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/users/brooks/public_html/feda/datasets/expectedruns.html), that seems like about what you would expect. I would think the team is probably around league average in "give back" innings.

Great work there! Perhaps it seems like more than it is because they have been such crucial runs in the ball games ? (given how much bad luck we've had this year)

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