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Where does Rutschman land and when?


orioles22

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Posted

I hope he gets signed quickly. I could see him going to Delmarva first and catching Rodriguez and Rom for a while before going to Frederick.

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Posted

Aberdeen after he signs and finishing at Delmarva or Frederick if and when he sets the New York-Penn League on fire. 

I don't see them just sending him straight to a full season affiliate this season.  Not their style. They are going to slow roll it.  No doubt garnering the frustration of many on this message board. 

You start him out too aggressively this season and then they might find themselves in a position of not being able to refuse a call up sometime in 2020.  I expect him to begin next season in Frederick and finish in Bowie.  They absolutely will not want to start his service clock until 2021.  

Posted
13 minutes ago, RZNJ said:

Disagree Chuck.  If Rutschman is really that good he'll be up sometime in 2020 and the O's will have no choice.  I think he easily makes it up to Frederick this year.  He starts 2020 in Bowie and forces his way up to Baltimore by the end of the year. 

How many draft picks have started their first full professional season in Double A over the last 5-10 years?  Have there been any?

Posted
1 hour ago, ChuckS said:

How many draft picks have started their first full professional season in Double A over the last 5-10 years?  Have there been any?

Brandon Finnegan and Chris Sale both pitched in the majors the year they were drafted. Sale actually only pitched 10 innings in the minors before he was promoted and has never been back down since except when he's been on a rehab assignment. 

Posted
1 hour ago, orioles22 said:

Didn't Posey make it late in the year after he was drafted?

Posey was drafted by SF in 2008, and appeared in only a handful of minor league games that year. He played 115 minor league games in 2009 and was called up to the bigs for the last week of the season when Giants' catcher Bengie Molina was injured. He started 2010 at AAA and was finally called up for good at the end of May that year. One huge difference between the Giants then and the Orioles now is that San Francisco was competitive in the AL West, and the addition of a stud catcher who put up 3.9 WAR during a season where the Giants took the division by 2 games (and went on the become world series champions) was decisive. I don't think the Orioles will be in a position where Rutschman will be that kind of difference maker in the next two years.

Posted

I think Aberdeen is the most likely destination for a couple weeks and then to Delmarva.  This is the same treatment the Reds and Phillies gave top college hitters in last years draft in India and Bohm.  There might be a chance AR gets moved up to Frederick if he keeps dominating, but the Os may prefer to keep AR in Delmarva if they have a playoff opportunity there. 

I think Frederick is the most likely starting destination for AR in 2020 and we go from there.  The Phillies actually sent Bohm back to Lakewood (Sally League - full season Low A) to start this season.  The Phillies first rounder in 2017 Haseley, out of UVa, spent most of the summer after his draft in the NYP and still picked up 66 ABs in Low A, then started 2018 in High A and finished in AA.  He started this year back in AA where he hit to an OPS of 827 in 150 ABs, and then was promoted to AAA and had about 25 ABs there before being called up to the major league squad tonight after the McCutcheon injury - about two years after being drafted.  

Posted

I think an "orientation" at Aberdeen might be best and work him into the season for a bit. Then move him up later. The transition to pro ball in itself is a challenge. The game is now a job. Let him adjust and succeed.

Posted
6 hours ago, Yachtsman said:

Delmarva. Let him grow with that nucleus and move him up next year.  

Is there a "nucleus" of prospects at Delmarva?

There is Rodriguez, Rom and A. Hall - that's pretty much it.

Frederick has DL Hall, Sedlock, Knight and Baumann in the rotation. That is where he should start as a 1-1 college player.

Posted
21 minutes ago, DirtyBird said:

Is there a "nucleus" of prospects at Delmarva?

There is Rodriguez, Rom and A. Hall - that's pretty much it.

Frederick has DL Hall, Sedlock, Knight and Baumann in the rotation. That is where he should start as a 1-1 college player.

I would add Grenier, peralta and Neustromm

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