2022 2nd Round Pick Comp B (#67): Jud Fabian - OF - (Jr) Florida University

[lovetoaster]

1 minute ago, Tony-OH said:

Yeah, there are some comps there. Low batting average guy who walks, strikeouts and hits some homers. Supposedly a good defensive outfielder. 

Eh.. I'm not sure there are ton of major league outfielders who hit .239 and struck out over 25% of his PAs in the major leagues. 

This guy reminds me of Zach Watson a bit. 

He's such a weird player. I don't know what to think. 

Massive power, great eye, above average speed and defense. Walks a lot, hits a bunch of homers, but doesn't get many other hits.

Hell, I don't know. 

[lovetoaster]

2 minutes ago, ArtVanDelay said:

I’m intrigued by Fabian.  Glad to have him in the org. 

Definitely some things to like. And some things to dislike. Haha.

[Paul in Virginia]

Written one month ago:

How Florida’s Jud Fabian fixed his strikeout rate before the MLB Draft - The Athletic

Still, defense can be Fabian’s carrying skill. And there is even evidence that his offensive profile — if sustained in pro ball — would be enough to earn him a steady job in the major leagues. Fabian won’t turn into Mike Trout, the three-time MVP who combines power and strong defense with a superior ability to bat around .300 and reach base at above-average rates most seasons despite a pedestrian strikeout percentage. But Fabian is a human highlight reel in center and he has enough raw power to project as a 20-plus home run hitter.

[Remember The Alomar]

5 minutes ago, RZNJ said:

Baseball America 

Fabian enrolled early at Florida and was draft-eligible in 2021 as one of the younger college players in the class. He ranked as the No. 27 prospect on the 2021 BA 500 and the Red Sox drafted him in the second round, but the two sides failed to come to terms and Fabian went back to Gainesville for his third college season. A 6-foot-2, 195-pound center fielder, Fabian is a standout athlete who has impressive power, speed and defensive tools. The biggest question in his profile is his pure hitting ability. Fabian has a keen eye at the plate and rarely expands the zone, and after walking 14.9% of the time in 2021 has increased that mark to 20% in 2022. He’s managed that walk rate while also hitting for a career-best 24 home runs. While most of that power has come to the pull side, scouts believe Fabian has real plus raw power. Despite that power and on-base ability, Fabian has never hit above .300 with Florida and this spring against conference competition in 30 games he hit .193 with 37 strikeouts and 33 walks. Defensively, Fabian is one of the better center fielders in the class, with solid speed, athleticism and instincts to stick at the position and be an impact defender. Given his tool set and up-the-middle profile, there’s plenty of upside—especially for a team who believes they can help him make more contact—but his swing-and-miss tendencies create plenty of risk as well.

 

Starting to notice a lot of similar adjectives tossed around when it comes to Elias-era position player picks. 

[Tony-OH]

2 minutes ago, Paul in Virginia said:

Written one month ago:

How Florida’s Jud Fabian fixed his strikeout rate before the MLB Draft - The Athletic

Still, defense can be Fabian’s carrying skill. And there is even evidence that his offensive profile — if sustained in pro ball — would be enough to earn him a steady job in the major leagues. Fabian won’t turn into Mike Trout, the three-time MVP who combines power and strong defense with a superior ability to bat around .300 and reach base at above-average rates most seasons despite a pedestrian strikeout percentage. But Fabian is a human highlight reel in center and he has enough raw power to project as a 20-plus home run hitter.

Unless he's Kevin Kiermaier, defense is not a carrying tool to anything but maybe a 4th/5th outfielder in today's game. 

[Just Regular]

1 minute ago, Remember The Alomar said:

Starting to notice a lot of similar adjectives tossed around when it comes to Elias-era position player picks. 

Stowers and Westburg kind of the point of the spear, and can't say it hasn't looked okay so far.

[Tony-OH]

10 minutes ago, RZNJ said:

BFabian has never hit above .300 with Florida and this spring against conference competition in 30 games he hit .193 with 37 strikeouts and 33 walks. 

 

So against decent college pitching he was Rob Deer. Yikes.

[PHRESH]

7 minutes ago, lovetoaster said:

He's such a weird player. I don't know what to think. 

Massive power, great eye, above average speed and defense. Walks a lot, hits a bunch of homers, but doesn't get many other hits.

Hell, I don't know. 

Maybe becomes Steven Souza, Jr. (2017 version)??

[Remember The Alomar]

Just now, Just Regular said:

Stowers and Westburg kind of the point of the spear, and can't say it hasn't looked okay so far.

Totally. Not complaining. But also not going to pretend I knew anything about these kids (after Jackson) before reading their scouting reports as they were drafted. I'll take athletes over Hogoods and DJ Stewarts, for sure. 

[RZNJ]

1 minute ago, Tony-OH said:

So against decent college pitching he was Rob Deer. Yikes.

Pretty much.

[OsFanSinceThe80s]

1 minute ago, Tony-OH said:

So against decent college pitching he was Rob Deer. Yikes.

Looking like a poor man's Joey Gallo against MLB pitching. 

[Just Regular]

Odds of a Santander (Hays-Mullins) trade up tonight?

[Legend_Of_Joey]

18 minutes ago, coe76 said:

Not sure what to say here.  Overrated bat.  Another OF.  Pitching is a need and we seem to be allergic.  Guess our first pitcher chosen will be in round 17 or so.  Given how many OF we seem to draft, if I am an OF at Aberdeen or below I might be getting nervous about my career choices!

If I’m an outfielder in Aberdeen or below, I might be asking the pitching coach about change up and splitter grips and asking when the bullpen sessions are.

[sevastras]

Also, there were some people talking about taking Fabian with the first round pick last year up until a month out. So whoever you guys were, no complaining a year later. 

[justD]