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By Orioles West · Posted
That’s true. Uncontrollable drooling does not sound great. But — I’m still in. -
I believe uncontrollable drooling is required. 🤤 -
You are partially on to something. The O’s have had the 4th fewest DP opportunities in the majors. At the same time, the percentage of DP opportunities that have turned into actual DP’s is the lowest in MLB. So, both those things contribute to the O’s having the lowest number of DP’s. Stats here.
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Here’s fangraphs Ben Clemens take on the Gunnar batting first (excerpted from yesterday’s chat) -
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By Orioles West · Posted
If it is, I’m in. I’d bark for a cool O’s card. -
By ShoelesJoe · Posted
I don't quite agree with your math, and here is why: Gunnar is averaging 4.49 plate appearances per game when he starts. Let's compare that to somebody who regularly bats 3rd or 4th in the lineup -- Ryan Mountcastle is averaging 4.35 plate appearances when he starts. The difference between the two, over the course of an entire season, would be 23 plate appearances. But Mountcastle has come up to bat 81 times so far with men on base, while Gunnar has come up only 68 times in those situations. We're 28% into the season, do the math and Mountcastle would come up 46 more times with men on base than Henderson over the course of the season, even though he'd have 23 fewer plate appearances. In which scenario would Gunnar likely do more damage? A) 23 more PA at leadoff (2/3 of which will probably be with the bases empty) or B) 23 fewer PA all told batting 3rd or 4th, but 46 more PA with men on base? I think he'd do more damage with B, but maybe I'm missing something. PS -- it took me a while to do the calculations and put all that down on paper. I see now that Frobby made pretty much the same argument as I did in about a tenth the time. Coke to Frobby.
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