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Castro settles for $1.05 Million

weams

By weams
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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

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10 minutes ago, weams said:

 

I haven’t been able to find where Cot’s shows it’s arbitration projections, which apparently are different than the ones MLBTR puts out.   Can anyone point me to them?    I think I read on one of the MASN blogs that Cot’s projected Mancini at $5 mm, compared to MLBTR’s $5.7 mm.    I think even Cot’s may be a little high there and MLBTR almost certainly is too high.  

Im also curious to see what Cot’s projected for Villar.    
 

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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

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7 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

It makes sense that the amount is lower than the projection if the two sides reach an accord.

Why?    The projection was made without knowing the bid or the ask.    I’d assume the projection is going for the number the parties ultimately will settle at.

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Can_of_corn Hangout Grand Counsel

Can_of_corn

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Just now, Frobby said:

Why?    The projection was made without knowing the bid or the ask.    I’d assume the projection is going for the number the parties ultimately will settle at.

I always figured their projection is what the arbitration award would be.

Not what the two sides would settle at.

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Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

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1 minute ago, Can_of_corn said:

I always figured their projection is what the arbitration award would be.

Not what the two sides would settle at.

This doesn’t make sense to me.    The award has to be either what the player demanded or what the team offered.   Each side wins roughly half the time.   Nobody knows what Castro would have demanded or what the team would have offered if they hadn’t settled, so it seems to me that to do a projection as you describe, you’d have to guess what would be demanded and who would win.   

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